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Forums - Sales - Prediction: 3DS will sell 10 million units faster than any other new videogame system in history barring the Wii

lol it better pick up then because next week it have been in the market for 7months so no way it will beat Wii or GBA.



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Didn't Kinect do it much quicker?



                            

Seece said:
RolStoppable said:
Seece said:
NYANKS said:
If the Wii taught us anything, it's that this thing is a marathon, not a sprint.

Isn't Wii one of the fastest peaking consoles of all time? lol

And wasn't the first system to hit ten million supposed to win its generation?

...

So which way do we go? On topic or mudslinging?

Your comment is mud slinging, mine is perfectly fine, if wii proved either one of those it wasn't that it was a marathon.

I meant it in a negative way. It was successful, but peaked fast and couldn't sustain sales. The first time ever a market leader was done so soon before the competitors.  I know it did well, but I think Nintendo hoped it could have lasted a little longer. 



Carl2291 said:
Didn't Kinect do it much quicker?


Kinect isn't really considered a new console. It is a peripheral and no matter what anyone says it is nothing more. Also Kinect is the perfect example of a flop, it sold really well for the first few months but then died. Today Kinect is still selling but its lost its momentum.

As for Rol's comment about Wii being a slow a steady race. Fact is Wii dominated not only at the beginning but reigned over the whole industry for years. Until last year Wii was still steadily outselling 360 and PS3 on a regular basis.Sure it didn't remain the dominant seller the whole generation, but I'd say it was fairly successful from start to finish. I don't think Nintendo expected any better!



-JC7

"In God We Trust - In Games We Play " - Joel Reimer

 

Joelcool7 said:
Carl2291 said:
Didn't Kinect do it much quicker?


Kinect isn't really considered a new console. It is a peripheral and no matter what anyone says it is nothing more. Also Kinect is the perfect example of a flop, it sold really well for the first few months but then died. Today Kinect is still selling but its lost its momentum.

Yes it is. Look at my above post, it's a peripheral to current owners, it's a new system to casuals Kinect IS a console to them. And no Kinect isn't a flop, you really don't know anything do you, the thing will explode again this christmas, that's easy enough to predict.



As for Rol's comment about Wii being a slow a steady race. Fact is Wii dominated not only at the beginning but reigned over the whole industry for years. Until last year Wii was still steadily outselling 360 and PS3 on a regular basis.Sure it didn't remain the dominant seller the whole generation, but I'd say it was fairly successful from start to finish.

Of course you would, but you would be wrong.
The last few years of its life it will have been beaten by its two nearest rival and pushed into third place, and have hardly any SW come out for it. That isn't successful.

I don't think Nintendo expected any better!





 

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Seece said:
Joelcool7 said:
Carl2291 said:
Didn't Kinect do it much quicker?


Kinect isn't really considered a new console. It is a peripheral and no matter what anyone says it is nothing more. Also Kinect is the perfect example of a flop, it sold really well for the first few months but then died. Today Kinect is still selling but its lost its momentum.

Yes it is. Look at my above post, it's a peripheral to current owners, it's a new system to casuals Kinect IS a console to them. And no Kinect isn't a flop, you really don't know anything do you, the thing will explode again this christmas, that's easy enough to predict.



As for Rol's comment about Wii being a slow a steady race. Fact is Wii dominated not only at the beginning but reigned over the whole industry for years. Until last year Wii was still steadily outselling 360 and PS3 on a regular basis.Sure it didn't remain the dominant seller the whole generation, but I'd say it was fairly successful from start to finish.

Of course you would, but you would be wrong.
The last few years of its life it will have been beaten by its two nearest rival and pushed into third place, and have hardly any SW come out for it. That isn't successful.

I don't think Nintendo expected any better!




Ok, we'll see how Kinect sells this Christmas, but I think you're wrong, and thats chiefly because NONE of the Kinect games this year have beaten Just Dance 2, and Zumba on 360 has been obliterated by Zumba Wii.I suppose we'll able to see how the black Wii Fit model sells too.

And to call Wii unsuccesful now is a pretty grand delusional statement when 9 of the top 20 of 2011 are Wii titles. Even if you subtract the bundles, you still have 1/4 of sales in 2011 going to a dead console.

Lastly, Nintendo have already announced their next console, alongside launching the 3DS, so its a given that most customers are either, A - more interested in the next console, B - interested in the new handheld, or C - buying Kinect with Dance Central. If the latter is the case, why isn't Zumba 360 selling?



“When we make some new announcement and if there is no positive initial reaction from the market, I try to think of it as a good sign because that can be interpreted as people reacting to something groundbreaking. ...if the employees were always minding themselves to do whatever the market is requiring at any moment, and if they were always focusing on something we can sell right now for the short term, it would be very limiting. We are trying to think outside the box.” - Satoru Iwata - This is why corporate multinationals will never truly understand, or risk doing, what Nintendo does.

megaman79 said:
Seece said:
Joelcool7 said:
Carl2291 said:
Didn't Kinect do it much quicker?


Kinect isn't really considered a new console. It is a peripheral and no matter what anyone says it is nothing more. Also Kinect is the perfect example of a flop, it sold really well for the first few months but then died. Today Kinect is still selling but its lost its momentum.

Yes it is. Look at my above post, it's a peripheral to current owners, it's a new system to casuals Kinect IS a console to them. And no Kinect isn't a flop, you really don't know anything do you, the thing will explode again this christmas, that's easy enough to predict.



As for Rol's comment about Wii being a slow a steady race. Fact is Wii dominated not only at the beginning but reigned over the whole industry for years. Until last year Wii was still steadily outselling 360 and PS3 on a regular basis.Sure it didn't remain the dominant seller the whole generation, but I'd say it was fairly successful from start to finish.

Of course you would, but you would be wrong.
The last few years of its life it will have been beaten by its two nearest rival and pushed into third place, and have hardly any SW come out for it. That isn't successful.

I don't think Nintendo expected any better!




Ok, we'll see how Kinect sells this Christmas, but I think you're wrong, and thats chiefly because NONE of the Kinect games this year have beaten Just Dance 2, and Zumba on 360 has been obliterated by Zumba Wii.I suppose we'll able to see how the black Wii Fit model sells too.

How Kinect has done March - now is irrelevent to how it'll do this xmas.

And to call Wii unsuccesful now is a pretty grand delusional statement when 9 of the top 20 of 2011 are Wii titles. Even if you subtract the bundles, you still have 1/4 of sales in 2011 going to a dead console.

I said unsuccessful in its later life, obviously it was huge for the first few years of its life.

Lastly, Nintendo have already announced their next console, alongside launching the 3DS, so its a given that most customers are either, A - more interested in the next console, B - interested in the new handheld, or C - buying Kinect with Dance Central. If the latter is the case, why isn't Zumba 360 selling?

Nope, we got a glimpse of consumers abandoning the Wii last summer, no new console was announced then. Wii bumped back during christmas but nowhere near the previous year.





 

Seece said:
Joelcool7 said:
Carl2291 said:
Didn't Kinect do it much quicker?


Kinect isn't really considered a new console. It is a peripheral and no matter what anyone says it is nothing more. Also Kinect is the perfect example of a flop, it sold really well for the first few months but then died. Today Kinect is still selling but its lost its momentum.

Yes it is. Look at my above post, it's a peripheral to current owners, it's a new system to casuals Kinect IS a console to them. And no Kinect isn't a flop, you really don't know anything do you, the thing will explode again this christmas, that's easy enough to predict.



As for Rol's comment about Wii being a slow a steady race. Fact is Wii dominated not only at the beginning but reigned over the whole industry for years. Until last year Wii was still steadily outselling 360 and PS3 on a regular basis.Sure it didn't remain the dominant seller the whole generation, but I'd say it was fairly successful from start to finish.

Of course you would, but you would be wrong.
The last few years of its life it will have been beaten by its two nearest rival and pushed into third place, and have hardly any SW come out for it. That isn't successful.

I don't think Nintendo expected any better!



Currently Kinect has almost no interesting games. And games decide whether peripheral is success or not. You can create greatest peripheral in the world but it fails without interesting games. Casuals don't buy peripherals for future games, those games have to exist now.

I doubt Nintendo actually cares about third place finish, they care how much their company makes profit. When WiiU is released, Wii sales are not interesting anymore, not to Nintendo and not to media. If WiiU sells more than PS3 and 360 then Nintendo doesn't care about Wii sales. Of course, if WiiU sells that much, PS4 and 720 are going to be rushed to market in 2012 and PS3 and 360 have no change to catch Wii total sales anymore.

Btw. Market share is not very important for companies. Profit is much more important. If you reach 90% market share with product but fail to make profit, your product is a failure. While product with 10% market share could be considered huge success. For example, iPhone has never reached huge market share but Apple is definitely very happy with sales and especially profits. Apple probably won't even try getting much better market share because it would actually lower their profits.



Untamoi said:
Seece said:
Joelcool7 said:
Carl2291 said:
Didn't Kinect do it much quicker?


Kinect isn't really considered a new console. It is a peripheral and no matter what anyone says it is nothing more. Also Kinect is the perfect example of a flop, it sold really well for the first few months but then died. Today Kinect is still selling but its lost its momentum.

Yes it is. Look at my above post, it's a peripheral to current owners, it's a new system to casuals Kinect IS a console to them. And no Kinect isn't a flop, you really don't know anything do you, the thing will explode again this christmas, that's easy enough to predict.



As for Rol's comment about Wii being a slow a steady race. Fact is Wii dominated not only at the beginning but reigned over the whole industry for years. Until last year Wii was still steadily outselling 360 and PS3 on a regular basis.Sure it didn't remain the dominant seller the whole generation, but I'd say it was fairly successful from start to finish.

Of course you would, but you would be wrong.
The last few years of its life it will have been beaten by its two nearest rival and pushed into third place, and have hardly any SW come out for it. That isn't successful.

I don't think Nintendo expected any better!



Currently Kinect has almost no interesting games And games decide whether peripheral is success or not. You can create greatest peripheral in the world but it fails without interesting games. Casuals don't buy peripherals for future games, those games have to exist now.

They will, this holiday they bought into it last holiday, they will again this holiday.

I doubt Nintendo actually cares about third place finish, they care how much their company makes profit.

No, they clearly don't, otherwise they wouldn't have cut $80 off the 3DS to concentrate on marketshare, and drop 80% in forecasted profits.

When WiiU is released, Wii sales are not interesting anymore, not to Nintendo and not to media. If WiiU sells more than PS3 and 360 then Nintendo doesn't care about Wii sales. Of course, if WiiU sells that much, PS4 and 720 are going to be rushed to market in 2012 and PS3 and 360 have no change to catch Wii total sales anymore.

Btw. Market share is not very important for companies. Profit is much more important. If you reach 90% market share with product but fail to make profit, your product is a failure. While product with 10% market share could be considered huge success. For example, iPhone has never reached huge market share but Apple is definitely very happy with sales and especially profits. Apple probably won't even try getting much better market share because it would actually lower their profits.


Again, look above, they cared with the 3DS





 

padib said:
Seece said:



I love how you're calling the kinect safe because it'll bump back during the holidays, but when it comes to the Wii it doesn't apply.

And that's even considering the kinect a console, which I don't agree with in the first place. Your logic seems one-sided.

I don't know if kinect is 'safe' all I know is it'll do well this holiday, after that it depends on how Microsoft act, it could well fall in 2012 like the Wii