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Forums - Sony - PS3 grabs 20%+ of the market !

Avinash_Tyagi on 01 January 2008
DMeisterJ said:
@ Avinash_Tyagi

So you're saying that Wii fit will have a hundred percent attach rate? Cuz I want to quote you on that.

 Not a hundred, but a large attach rate i'd say over 50%



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

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finalsquall on 01 January 2008

Funner is an ozzie word.  Like it's Home Way More Funner than Wii Fit.



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End of 2011 Sales: Wii = 90mil, 360 = 61mil, PS3= 60mil

Avinash_Tyagi on 01 January 2008
finalsquall said:
Funner is an ozzie word.  Like it's Home Way More Funner than Wii Fit.

 Not to the average everyday consumer



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

DMeisterJ on 01 January 2008

@ AT

But you said most if not all. Most is more than 50. Most if not all sounds like 75-100%



ktulu on 01 January 2008

I'm more excited for the in-game XMB that should come with Home more than Home itself.



Currently playing: UT3, Madden 08, NBA 2k7, AoE:III

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yoshi-zz on 01 January 2008

PS3 will eventually kill off the flunking wii when people get tired of "fun" they get from it(carnival games-wow)seriously how long do you think it will last.

leo-j on 01 January 2008

Ktulu

I dont even care about HOME, I just want IN GAME XMB!!! and better games!!



 

mM
shams on 01 January 2008

LOL at WiiFit vrs HOME arguments. One is a game/app, sold in stores that Nintendo makes money off... the other is a free, downloadable multiplayer lobby application. Nice way to compare them.

...

Anyway, on topic:

By end of '08, Wii will have *at least* 40m sold. 360 will have at *least* 20m sold, probably closer to 25m.

So combined that is 60m-65m.

If the PS3 has 20m sold, the total market is 80m-85m.

20m/80m = 25%.
20m/85m = 23%.

*If* the Wii (somehow) gets to 50m...

20/90m = 22%
20/95m = 21%

The PS3 is *really* going to struggle to get to 30% market share. Best case is if it sells 15m in the next 12months (*very* unlikely IMO), 360 sells 5m, and the Wii only 20m. That places it just below 30%.

The Wii is heading towards 60% marketshare, with the 360/PS3 taking 20% each. But it will take 2-3 years to get there.

...

Worst case for PS3 would be something like:

Wii gets to 50m by end of '08
360 gets to 25m
PS3 sells around 8m, taking it to 17m

17/93 = 18% share (loses 2% from now)



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Avinash_Tyagi on 01 January 2008
DMeisterJ said:
@ AT

But you said most if not all. Most is more than 50. Most if not all sounds like 75-100%

 Most is majority, now depending on certain factors it could go into the 80%+ range (like a line of games which use the balance board and usage of the balance board in more "hardcore" games), but that is still up in the air, however I am certain it will have a 50%+ attach rate over its lifetime



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

yoshi-zz on 01 January 2008

Ok lets all get along because wii fit is gonna make me lose weight.