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Forums - Sales Discussion - My End of 2009 Predictions

Avinash_Tyagi on 01 January 2008
wiiforever said:
PS3 will not pass 360 in 08. Maybe early to middle 09? PS3 and Wii could be really close in 09-10

 unlikely, since Wii is going to continue to sell at a high rate, while PS3 will lag behind, PS3 won't pass 18 million this year, and Wii will likely pass 40 million



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

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Tommo1975 on 01 January 2008

I reckon -

Wii - 38 Million as Nintendo will sort out their supply constraints this year - but could this actually harm sales as a product that is sold out everywhere becomes a must have item, whereas one that is freely available is less desirable?
360 - 26 Million
PS3 - 22 Million, (slowly catching up with the 360)



Systems Owned - High end PC, Nintendo DS, X-Box 360 and PS3 

 

PSN and 360 ID's - Tommo1975

Avinash_Tyagi on 01 January 2008
Tommo1975 said:
I reckon -

Wii - 38 Million as Nintendo will sort out their supply constraints this year - but could this actually harm sales as a product that is sold out everywhere becomes a must have item, whereas one that is freely available is less desirable?
360 - 26 Million
PS3 - 22 Million, (slowly catching up with the 360)

 Who say's it'll be freely availible?  With the games coming out Wii will continue to be in heavy demand and lets not forget the potential for new colors should sales dip



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Tommo1975 on 02 January 2008
Avinash_Tyagi said:
Tommo1975 said:
I reckon -

Wii - 38 Million as Nintendo will sort out their supply constraints this year - but could this actually harm sales as a product that is sold out everywhere becomes a must have item, whereas one that is freely available is less desirable?
360 - 26 Million
PS3 - 22 Million, (slowly catching up with the 360)

 Who say's it'll be freely availible?  With the games coming out Wii will continue to be in heavy demand and lets not forget the potential for new colors should sales dip


 I reckon we will. From what I understand (and I know someone will correct me if I'm wrong!), the production of the Wii was less than demand during the middle part of the year - at least in the UK, cos I saw many Wii's on the shelves (wish I'd picked one up!). It was only at the end of the year demand outpaced supply again and the backlog of previously unsold Wii's was sold, leading to shortfalls.

Now, with Nintendo upping supply, I would bet we would see the same thing happen this year, and with

greater amouts of unsold Wii's in the supply chain there is a chance we won't see anything like the shortfalls we've seen this year.

Besides, overall I don't believe it's in Nintendo's interest to have potential customers frustrated at not being able to buy a Wii, cos with the 360 and possible (but unlikely) PS3, being at similar prices they could see sales lost to 

a competitor.



Systems Owned - High end PC, Nintendo DS, X-Box 360 and PS3 

 

PSN and 360 ID's - Tommo1975

taxman on 02 January 2008

It seems like people here are predicting the PS3 to sell the same number of consoles in 2008 as in 2007. Even though all the heavyweight games coming out in 2008 and possibly a price cut.... (i.e 17-19m in total by end of 2008)

The only way that might happen is if there is a worldwide full blown recession. (a very big possibility)



PSN ID: T_Gears

End of 2009 ltd sales:

Wii = 67-68m

X360 = 38-39m

PS3 = 34-35m

Prediction: The PS3 will surpass the 360 on weekly sales after it drops to $299 on all regular weeks (no big releases).

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Fastrabbit09 on 02 January 2008

anyone predicting



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp
kopstudent89 on 02 January 2008

The wii sold in 2007 abt 15-16 million consoles not 19-20 million... soo lets not confuse the 2...
36-38 million wiis
19-20 million PS3(should do much better in NA, but not soo good in japan.. not enuf software for me)
24-25 million 360
83-88 million DS(all depends on japan, i believe it will start to decline there)
38-40 million PSP(If it doesnt launch any appealing software, it is doomed)
PS2???? cannot predict at all



sorikuu on 02 January 2008

End of the year

WII 50million

XB360 30million

PS3 15million



Lulive on 02 January 2008

End of 2008 :

Wii : 56.54 M => I follow John Lucas here

PS3 : 28 M

Xbox 360 : 26 M

DS : 95M

PSP : 40M

PS2 : 126M (114M currently @ VGchartz)



End of 2008 (31 dec.) prediction :

Wii : 53.5 Million

PS3 : 24 Million

X360 : 27 Million

Prediction started January 1st 2008.

meige22 on 02 January 2008

PS3 does have potential to surpass 360 because of GT5 MGS4 and GOW3(if released this year),but the probability may be a little