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Forums - Sales - PS3 v 360 Gap Chart (with projection)

cloud1161 on 18 March 2011

im thinking jan/13 is most likely



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Zlejedi on 18 March 2011
thx1139 said:
postofficebuddy said:
thx1139 said:

Japan through March 5th 2011

Console Wii PS3 X360
Japan
178,707
259,445
29,427

Last year same time

Console Wii PS3 X360
Japan
375,877
297,256
35,772

Last year March 7th through Jan 1 2011

Console Wii PS3 X360
Japan
1,285,753
1,256,382
175,813

I am posting this because the effect in Japan will be dramatic and this will truly harm any chances of the PS3 catching the 360. I would suspect the remainder of 2011 in Japan to be 50% of the sales the remainder of 2010.

Console Prediction
 Wii PS3 X360
Japan
600,000
600,000
80,000


I really doubt the disasters are going to effect sales that badly. Check Media Create, PS3 actually increased in sales last week. Yes, sales will be affected but it most likely won't have much of a long term impact.

Earthquake happened at like 3:30PM Friday on the 11th in Japan.  So most of the sales for last week had already happened.  Including a rather interesting new release that boosted sales particularly on day of release.  That wont be the case going forward.


Unless the Fukushima situation escalates there's no way sales will suffer this badly.

First bigger part of Japan wasn't affected so badly. Second once affected people go back to living normal lives they are going to need replacement for destroyed property.

There will be 4-8 weeks of sales drought but after that sales will start returning.



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Ping_ii on 18 March 2011

YAWN*

here we go again with "MS is gonna counter this and that" same shit said last 2009.



thx1139 on 18 March 2011
pezus said:
thx1139 said:
postofficebuddy said:
thx1139 said:

Japan through March 5th 2011

Console Wii PS3 X360
Japan
178,707
259,445
29,427

Last year same time

Console Wii PS3 X360
Japan
375,877
297,256
35,772

Last year March 7th through Jan 1 2011

Console Wii PS3 X360
Japan
1,285,753
1,256,382
175,813

I am posting this because the effect in Japan will be dramatic and this will truly harm any chances of the PS3 catching the 360. I would suspect the remainder of 2011 in Japan to be 50% of the sales the remainder of 2010.

Console Prediction
 Wii PS3 X360
Japan
600,000
600,000
80,000


I really doubt the disasters are going to effect sales that badly. Check Media Create, PS3 actually increased in sales last week. Yes, sales will be affected but it most likely won't have much of a long term impact.

Earthquake happened at like 3:30PM Friday on the 11th in Japan.  So most of the sales for last week had already happened.  Including a rather interesting new release that boosted sales particularly on day of release.  That wont be the case going forward.

Yet all the other consoles dropped pretty dramatically

PS3 was only one with a signifigant release. Not to mention PS3 already YoY lower in Japan.



Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.

thx1139 on 18 March 2011
pezus said:
thx1139 said:
pezus said:
thx1139 said:

Earthquake happened at like 3:30PM Friday on the 11th in Japan.  So most of the sales for last week had already happened.  Including a rather interesting new release that boosted sales particularly on day of release.  That wont be the case going forward.

Yet all the other consoles dropped pretty dramatically

PS3 was only one with a signifigant release. Not to mention PS3 already YoY lower in Japan.

Like pretty much all consoles, what's your point?

PS3 was already trending lower, so my prediction of lower isnt just the Earthquake/Tsunami/partial meltdown.  And for people saying well people are going to run out and repurchase all thier stuff, video game consoles will be much further down the list. People will want homes and cars first.



Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.

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thx1139 on 18 March 2011
pezus said:
thx1139 said:
pezus said:
thx1139 said:
pezus said:
thx1139 said:

Earthquake happened at like 3:30PM Friday on the 11th in Japan.  So most of the sales for last week had already happened.  Including a rather interesting new release that boosted sales particularly on day of release.  That wont be the case going forward.

Yet all the other consoles dropped pretty dramatically

PS3 was only one with a signifigant release. Not to mention PS3 already YoY lower in Japan.

Like pretty much all consoles, what's your point?

PS3 was already trending lower, so my prediction of lower isnt just the Earthquake/Tsunami/partial meltdown.  And for people saying well people are going to run out and repurchase all thier stuff, video game consoles will be much further down the list. People will want homes and cars first.

They won't buy empty homes though, will they?

I think that the video game console will be pretty far down the list of what they put in the home.  For christ sakes this was no ordinary event and people think that a couple of months from now all the people will be rushing out and simply replacing video game consoles.  If this was my country when I wasnt putting my own life back together I would be out helping my fellow countrymen not looking to play video games.



Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.

Sr.Bangsalot on 18 March 2011

The last part of the chart makes no sense ps3 beat the 360 over the last 12 but not 9 6 or 3 isn't the last 9 6 and 3 part of the 12 so does Sony just insanely outsell 360 at one part of the year or something 



postofficebuddy on 18 March 2011

BTW, do this again in April. You'll probably notice that the average outsell rate for the past 3 months will be much, much more steeply in PS3's favor. Probably comfortably over 100k per month. And that's during a time frame when we've been hearing the 'statistical tie' term thrown around almost to the point of ridiculousness.



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hehey on 18 March 2011

One word, Holidays, this Kinect thing looks to be the next Wii like sensation, i predict that any gap PS3 closes this year wont be big enough to not be blown out of the water come christmas by Kinect, unless sorcery turns out to be awesome and starts selling Move like crazy its the only logical conclusion.



Sr.Bangsalot on 18 March 2011
hehey said:

One word, Holidays, this Kinect thing looks to be the next Wii like sensation, i predict that any gap PS3 makes this year wont be big enough to not be blown out of the water come christmas by Kinect, unless sorcery turns out to be awesome and starts selling Move like crazy its the only logical conclusion.

My money is on kinect running out of steam 6 months into the year at most end of the year I really can't see kinect going for 5