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Forums - Sales Discussion - predictions for 2008

Soriku said:
Bladeneo said:
Soriku said:
@leo-j, kber, CrazzyMan

You guys are great clowns. You three should join together and be comedians. You'd be great. Not that I hate the PS3, but your predictions are outrageous.

----

So anyway, my predictions:

Wii - 42 mil
PS3 - 21 mil
360 - 30 mil

1. KH3 will be announced as a Wii exclusive, possible trailer shown but maybe just a teaser.
2. DMC4 360 version will outsell DMC4 PS3 version if Japan DMC4 sales aren't high enough.
3. Mega Man Wii game announced (possibly that Mega Man Scramble Battle).
4. A SF for Wii will be announced, but not SF4.
5. Versus XIII and FF XIII onslaught of info coming.
6. KH: 358/2 Days will outsell both Coded and BBS first week.
7. ToS: KoR hailed as one of the best Wii games.
8. More Wii RPGs coming.
9. Media.Vision's Wii RPG announced and info + trailer(s) given.
10. MH3 onslaught of info coming. Possible Japan release.
11. Level 5 announced Wii game.
12. Zack and Wiki 2 announced for Wii (of course).
13. SE announces not much FFCC: TCB info shown because it's one of SE's biggest games, second to FF XIII and possibly/probably Versus).
14. I will reach 20k+ posts.

And now for the best one...

15. leo-j, kber, and CrazzyMan ALL eat (big) crow.

1. I sincerely hope not, I loved KH, they better bring it to the PS3. Makes sense, it was an established PS3 franchise.

2. DMC japan numbers will obviously favour the PS3, but so will Europe's numbers so even if Japans numbers arent that high I cant see NA saving the 360 that much.


1. Established PS3 franchise? Since when?

2. Japan yes, Europe...not too sure. NA I don't think it'll matter MUCH, but 360 will edge out a little.

 I think it was obvious it was a typo, thats why I edited it. My bad?   

Hell hath no fury like a woman scorned for Sega. - Jason Lee, Mallrats.

http://theaveragejoe.sportsblognet.com/ - Mainly American Football, snippets of Basketball, European Football and Hockey. 

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Soriku said:

@rukusa

1. Glad you agree

3. In what way is it suspicious? And yeah, Wii destroyed lol. As a matter of fact, whenever they have polls like that, Wii wins with a great majority.

5. Possibly. I hope so, anyway. But what I really wanna see is Versus.

8. Which JRPG(s) failed on the Wii?

And I so do want an Onimusha game! And I doubt it'd be Dino Crisis. I think DC would probably stay on 360.

 


(1) ;)

(2) Well, Im just implying a good possibility exists.

(8) Opoona comes to mind ;(

 

About DC... I dont know. I can see MS just wanting to keep their hands on Dead Rising instead of Dino Crisis. Especially considering Dino Crisis 3 was a major flop.



Nintendo & Sony supporter:

 Consoles: Wii & PS3.

Soriku said:
Bladeneo said:
Soriku said:
Bladeneo said:
Soriku said:
@leo-j, kber, CrazzyMan

You guys are great clowns. You three should join together and be comedians. You'd be great. Not that I hate the PS3, but your predictions are outrageous.

----

So anyway, my predictions:

Wii - 42 mil
PS3 - 21 mil
360 - 30 mil

1. KH3 will be announced as a Wii exclusive, possible trailer shown but maybe just a teaser.
2. DMC4 360 version will outsell DMC4 PS3 version if Japan DMC4 sales aren't high enough.
3. Mega Man Wii game announced (possibly that Mega Man Scramble Battle).
4. A SF for Wii will be announced, but not SF4.
5. Versus XIII and FF XIII onslaught of info coming.
6. KH: 358/2 Days will outsell both Coded and BBS first week.
7. ToS: KoR hailed as one of the best Wii games.
8. More Wii RPGs coming.
9. Media.Vision's Wii RPG announced and info + trailer(s) given.
10. MH3 onslaught of info coming. Possible Japan release.
11. Level 5 announced Wii game.
12. Zack and Wiki 2 announced for Wii (of course).
13. SE announces not much FFCC: TCB info shown because it's one of SE's biggest games, second to FF XIII and possibly/probably Versus).
14. I will reach 20k+ posts.

And now for the best one...

15. leo-j, kber, and CrazzyMan ALL eat (big) crow.

1. I sincerely hope not, I loved KH, they better bring it to the PS3. Makes sense, it was an established PS3 franchise.

2. DMC japan numbers will obviously favour the PS3, but so will Europe's numbers so even if Japans numbers arent that high I cant see NA saving the 360 that much.


1. Established PS3 franchise? Since when?

2. Japan yes, Europe...not too sure. NA I don't think it'll matter MUCH, but 360 will edge out a little.

I think it was obvious it was a typo, thats why I edited it. My bad?

Well, so what if it's an established PS2 franchise? FF was an established NES/SNES franchise, same with MGS, and DQ (although it's coming back...), and SO, and SF, etc. but they all moved to Sony. Now recently Fatal Frame and MH have moved from Sony to Nintendo.

Established or not, it can move. In fact, I think it'd do better on Nintendo systems. The demographic fits after all. Plus the Disney characters will appeal to the younger kids (KH appeals MORE to the younger kids, after all).

 Well obviously it CAN move, im just saying it makes sense to transfer it over to the next console. Im pretty sure the gaming world was amazed when FF popped up on the new Sony console, so its more unlikely to see it moved ya know what I mean?



Hell hath no fury like a woman scorned for Sega. - Jason Lee, Mallrats.

http://theaveragejoe.sportsblognet.com/ - Mainly American Football, snippets of Basketball, European Football and Hockey. 

End of 08:

Wii: 35 million
360: 24 million
PS3: 22 million

DS: 83 million
PSP: 38 million



rukusa said:
kitler53 said:

....


I dont think youre seeing it from the right angle. You see... Killzone 2 itself is a seller, the name itself is the seller. Reason being the huge amount of controversy it has gathered. Meaning it has alot of attention from gamers. That kind of controversy is priceless. Its like free advertising.

Now thats, not the point where it starts selling, it won't begin untill KZ2 proves itself. If it does get straight A's on the fly, then the gamers will want to play it. Some will play because it got classified as a fantastic game, others will try to convince themselves that the game is still crap and buy/rent it to prove it to themselves.

Regardless of who buys it, the amounts of which it will be sold will be much more important.

Neither Zack & Wiki nor No More Heros had/has that kind of amount of controversy that KZ2 has stolen in the gaming community.


well i agree with you on basically every point.  the only thing i would argue on is the amount of gamers that this controversy affects.  this controversy has been limited mostly to internet forums and it is my opinion that a majority of gamers (those that don't frequent internet forums) will never hear about the game until just prior to release.  

I only compare it to zack and wiki because it also had a huge amount of internet hype and also received good reviews (86% game rankings) and still managed not to sell all that well.  KZ2 does have more hype, true, but it is the location of that hype that is limiting.  well anyways, that's my opinion and my justification for why i made a fairly low prediction.



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my predictions:

 

#1 2008 WON'T BE A DECISIVE YEAR for the so calld "NEXT-GEN War" for at least 2 reason:

  • prices are still too high for the mass market: things will get interesting for common people (and sales will become really massive) only when the price will go under 199$
  • "old gen" market accounts for 140M units and till now less than 45M "next gen" consoles have been sold...there are at least 100M users (probably more if it's true that VG market is growing up year after year) that have still to jump on the "nxt gen" train.

#2: all 3 systems will increase their sales compared to 2007

#3: Year end Sales:

  • Wii: 41M
  • X360: 28M
  • PS3: 22M 


2008 year end sales (made in January 2008):

44.2 M 27.1 M 20.8 M

jumping on the KH3 train....

i personally am hoping it comes to the wii. i think it would make a lot of sense to put it there 'cause nintendo's philosophy is very family friendly. nintendo is kind of the disney of the video gaming world so i believe KH could do really well there. plus, KH3 is one game that isn't really enhanced by higher resolution since their characters are already so simplistic in design.

i don't really care if it's exclusive to the wii, i just hope wii gets the game. maybe they should port KH I and II to test the waters first, i'd be happy to see that. xD



End of 08

Wii - 35 Mil.
X360 - 25 Mil.
PS3 - 19 Mil.



"Naturally the common people don't want war: Neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, IT IS THE LEADERS of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is TELL THEM THEY ARE BEING ATTACKED, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. IT WORKS THE SAME IN ANY COUNTRY."  --Hermann Goering, leading Nazi party member, at the Nuremberg War Crime Trials 

 

Conservatives:  Pushing for a small enough government to be a guest in your living room, or even better - your uterus.

 

Soriku said:

Well, Opoona is one game. Plus Opoona seems..."different". Who knows, it might do better in NA and EU.

And you might wanna add KH3 to your Rumored/unrevealed games section in your sig

I will do it at the beginning of January, just for the celebration of the new year ;).



Nintendo & Sony supporter:

 Consoles: Wii & PS3.

carlos710 said:
CrazzyMan said:

Those who think, that PS3 will sell LESS(17 mln. total or just 8 mln.) then in 1st year(around 9 mln.) WITH LBP, KZ2, MGS4, GTA4, GT5, FFXIII and other GREAT games are just IDIOTS.

 Then why you think that Wii is going to sell less on its second year with games like Brawl/Kart/WiiFit/Disaster/Animal Crossing/WiiMusic, and increased production?

 


Because people will just lose interest in it, just like in Japan, Wii was outsold by PS3.
PS3 gonna have 5 BIG games in 2008 + one potential Hit and many other GREAT games. How it suposed to sell worse?
What BIG Wii games will be released in 2008? SSBB? what else?

@rocketpig:

Uncharted WILL hit 2 mln. WW by the end of 2008. It`s a GREAT game.
When people just will stop stating idiot statements?

 



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far