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Forums - Sales - So how is the Wii tracking compared to the PS2 within the same timeframe?

OoSnap said:

Can someone please tell for long the PS2 was at the $200 price point?

One year (May 2002 - May 2003).  Sony was going in for the kill with it's first price cut though.  The Gamecube and Xbox were both out for 6 months and then Sony cuts the PS2 price by $100 a few weeks before the competition had their first E3 on the market. 

Country   Date  Price 
United States 200010October 2000 $299 (launch price)
United States 200205May 2002 $199 (-$100)
United States 200305May 2003 $179 (-$20)
United States 200405May 2004 $149 (-$30)
United States 200604April 2006 $129 (-$20)
United States 200904April 2009 $99 (-$30)


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trestres said:
robzo100 said:

 

We only have a limited experience when it comes to game systems selling for spectacularly long lifetimes.  Meaning we are being too rigid by expecting a game console to sell over a 150 million only by taking a similar path that PS2 did.

Wii could very well sell not as well during it's first half (first 5 years during the gen. at the time) but then have a better second half (the last 5 years, selling once the next gen has already started).  It's hard to say.  Wii is such a different kind of machine than PS2, so the pattern should be expected to not be similar if anything.

Sorry but that's impossible.


I have to agree, it just ain't happening......

The Wii has 4 years left, and baring a huge price cut, sales will keep going down at 20% rate or more per year... ( things might actually go even faster in Japan, because once Zelda is out, and with the release of the 3DS, the Wii will be officially dead over there...).



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

I think a price cut to $150 in the USA will be pretty effective at preventing a big drop, ala 2009 to 2010.

Zelda / Mario & Sonic / Just Dance 3 isn't terrible for Q4 by any means. Not with the evergreens and a price cut, and whatever else Nintendo / third parties have left. I'd reckon Wii still has life in Japan in 2012 too btw, especially with Dragon Quest X recently re-confirmed for Wii, but not a shoe-in for 2011. The spike for DQX should be even greater than the FFXIII spike even if it released away from Dec-Jan to be honest.



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

Well when we had the launch aligned sales graph waaaaay back in the days of VGC 2.0 it would be a meer hyperlink away.

It's tracking well above PS2, but I don't see Nintendo staying away from Wii HD long enough, and PS3 and 360 are too strong a competition for Wii to reach 140 million. It should easily reach 120 million though, maybe even 130 million.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

Ail said:
trestres said:
robzo100 said:

 

We only have a limited experience when it comes to game systems selling for spectacularly long lifetimes.  Meaning we are being too rigid by expecting a game console to sell over a 150 million only by taking a similar path that PS2 did.

Wii could very well sell not as well during it's first half (first 5 years during the gen. at the time) but then have a better second half (the last 5 years, selling once the next gen has already started).  It's hard to say.  Wii is such a different kind of machine than PS2, so the pattern should be expected to not be similar if anything.

Sorry but that's impossible.


I have to agree, it just ain't happening......

The Wii has 4 years left, and baring a huge price cut, sales will keep going down at 20% rate or more per year... ( things might actually go even faster in Japan, because once Zelda is out, and with the release of the 3DS, the Wii will be officially dead over there...).

I feel ya, but no one is stressing how different these machines are when it comes to audiences.  We all know they're different, but we seem to ignore it when it comes to tracking how the pattern of sales should be for a 150 million seller.

Wii will eventually have 30 million software sellers (Sports Resort and Mario Kart Wii) by the time next gens come (and few 20 mils), or actually by the end of next holiday season.  PS2 did NOT have those kind of software sellers.  The software offering is way more casual and accessible.  Maybe that will entice people to keep buying and give Wii a better and possibly longer second half of good sales.  Seems impossible to have a longer and better second half than PS2, but who knows man.

I think Wii has one thing similar to PS2.  If the Wii 2 starts out badly, like PS3, then Wii might keep selling.  If PS3 were to have been very affordable like PS2, then maybe PS2 would not have shined as much.  If Wii 2 is unattractive for whatever reason in the beggining like PS3, then maybe Wii will shine longer.  I have no idea, I just know deep down (not in an emotional way heh) that there is no reason why a sales pattern for two totally different kinds of machines should be similar even if they are reaching a similar goal