lol, China has Vii and Vii 2... if you seriously consider PRC as a perfect market for Nintendo you are nut. They are damn poor and the piracy in China is so popular it seems legal.

Personally I don't believe they produce 1.8 million per month... If they really produce such huge amount there won't be any problem with supply. They didn't sell 1.8 million even during week 17th - 23rd... 

 Hopefully you can spot the problem with your logic now.

Hmm, not really. I think it's pretty fair to set up that during week before Christmas people buy as many systems as during whole average month (February - October)... or not?

While it might be true that there is demand to purchase that many it doesn't necessarily mean that there will be supply. 1.8m per month supply is going to have a tough time (without stockpiling) getting even close to 1.8m supply for a given week.

So yes while you are correct that X-mas week numbers are traditionally high it doesn't necessitate that monthly sales numbers become the aproximate weekly sales because it doesn't imply that that kind of supply will be even avaialable.

Now (just as an example) if they were making 8m a month and the normal monthly sales were 1.1m or so then yes you could absolutely expect 1.1m for the week before x-mas because at 8m per month we would easily expect them to have enough supply. But when the weekly supply expected is higher than the monthly supply produced I think expectations are a bit too high unless another factor such as stockpiling is used to compensate for the discrepancy.

 I'm so glad you know all this, so our posts don't bother you. I see many points made on here that I disagree with, but usually refrain from responding, but you're all over it every time!

Quite frankly, you're even more unrealistic than JL. 

 Give me one single reason why I shouldn't believe that you are Avinash on a different account. You use the exact same tired arguments and write alike as well.

a mod could do an ip check i'm sure

how about arguing the statements i made?

i made the following predictions; feel free to pick and choose which u want to argue:

a) wii will sell out if nintendo keeps production at 1.8mil/month
b) wii would do a) even if no wii fit/ssbb/mkwii coming out
c) wiis will sell for premium this spring

btw, u are one of the posters i find most curious

u only predict 35mil wiis by end of next year

that's roughly the same number (16mil) as sold in 2007....do u REALLY believe that wii won't increase sales in year 2?

i can understand 'hardcore gamers' holding out hope that wii will fail because they are scared that 'casuals' will overrun the market and their 'hardcore games' won't be released as often

but i don't understand the unbiased people who truly think wii will slow down in sales

Generally, consoles sell more in their second year on the market than they do on the first. This is the time when the games come, the price-cuts hit, and the momentum really starts showing. If for some reason, the Wii does not sell all 1.8 million units produced each month, what to do with the remaining units is quite easy, stockpile them for Christmas. It is much cheaper to do that then to lower production and increase it again, and they may actually end up with enough to satisfy the Christmas sales in 2009.

Wii production will not decrease. Not until at least 2010.

 In fact I expect it to go up as demand remains high through next year, I expect it to be at least 2.2 million per month by end of next year