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Forums - Sales - Predict end of life sales for the 8th gen

enrageorange said:

next xbox 70mil

next playstation 70mil

next wii 85mil

3DS 100mil

PSP2  40mil

xbox and playstation will  be neck and neck again. Wii and DS will lose the biggest % due to casuals getting their gaming needs from their iphones/itouches. These are what i think the sales will be when the 9th gen starts, not nessessarary when the 8th gen consoles stop selling.


2D mario will bring all the casuals back



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MadeInDK said:

We don't know anything.. but we know many of the games... based on the fact that the majority of the gammers, likes playng fun games. heres is my prediction.

PS4 addon for PS3        40 mill

Box 720                         60 mill

Wii-R                              160 mill

3DS                                150 mill

PSP2                                80 mill

Sony filed a new patent the other day, and it semms like they are gonna stick whit a ps3 addon for next gen..

http://playstationlifestyle.net/2010/12/09/ps3-5-sony-patent-shows-plans-to-increase-ps3s-power-with-external-processor/

Sounds like the 32X



Immortal said:

3DS 247m - It's a DS. With glassles 3D. Sequel to 170m selling console. With motion control. And pretty much every popular franchise known to man. What the hell do you expect?

Bii 173m - The Bii name will be used to capitalize on "Bii who you want to Bii!" and "Let's Bii different!" That'll lure in general people and "core" gamers since it'll signify "play what you wanna play" in HD with moneyhatted/forced by 3DS third parties.

720 117m - This time around, MS, too, will have part of the "casual" audience with them and they can moneyhat stuff as usual justin case.

PS4 114m - Sony will make a hell of a comeback, but will trail MS by a not even funny amount as it has/will this generation.

PSP2 23m - Let's see. No more third party "Sony can't lose!" stealing third party support. Coming off a dying console. Don't quite see it doing well.

I love that slogan Bii!



axt113 said:
Gilgamesh said:

PS4: 200 million (first console to do so)

Xbox 3: 95 million

Wii 2: 100 million

3DS: 100 million

PSP2: 150 million

PS2: 160 million :P

^Now that's a big generation

*Looks at Sony prediction*

 

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

 

Excellent joke

You guys spend a lot of time laughing so much at numbers...

 



axt113 said:
Gilgamesh said:
guiduc said:
Gilgamesh said:

PS4: 200 million (first console to do so)

Xbox 3: 95 million

Wii 2: 100 million

3DS: 100 million

PSP2: 150 million

PS2: 160 million :P

^Now that's a big generation


Why would Nintendo 3DS lose to the PSP2???

IMO, over priced and really no need for one right yet it's too soon, DS is still going strong they could still ride it for a few more years. And I just have a feeling PSP2 is going to kill, Sony seems to got an Ace with this one.


Its fun to dream, bu sooner or later you must wake up Gilgamesh

...lol this is coming from a guy who thinks Sony's going to drop out of the video game industry next gen hahaha



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Gilgamesh said:
guiduc said:
Gilgamesh said:

PS4: 200 million (first console to do so)

Xbox 3: 95 million

Wii 2: 100 million

3DS: 100 million

PSP2: 150 million

PS2: 160 million :P

^Now that's a big generation


Why would Nintendo 3DS lose to the PSP2???

IMO, over priced and really no need for one right yet it's too soon, DS is still going strong they could still ride it for a few more years. And I just have a feeling PSP2 is going to kill, Sony seems to got an Ace with this one.


I have to disagree. The 3DS already has a killer lineup announced, including many games that will likely convince those for whom the DS was their entry to gaming, as well as many games for the hardcore gamer. By the time the PSP2 even launches, the 3DS will have stolen a significant amount of its potential userbase



Are there people who actually think sony is going to stop their console business? Really?

lmao at the ignorance. They have a lot of studios, if anything they should be the last people to leave this business. 



Following the cycle...

 

Wii2: 115mil

720: 85mil

PS4: 60mil (they'll mes it up...again)

 

3DS: 140mil

Apple IPlay: 120mil

PSP2: 50mil (will be forgotten after a couple of years)

 

No newcomers, but I expect Microsoft to either create a handheld or back out of the console race 9th gen...



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

My predictions:

PS4 - 110 million

Mii - 100 million

NeXtbox - 85 million

3DS - 105 million

PSP 2 - 20 million

Concerning Sony, they have learned their lesson and will get back to what made them great in the PS1 era. Their console along with being a multimedia, multi-use device will have a resurgence of platformers (Remember JaK and Dexter and Crash Bandicoot?) , unrivaled 2nd party software, the best 3rd party software, and must have JRPGs such as a remake of Final Fantasy VII. Furthermore, the Move will convert over to the PS4 and by this time it will have a sizeable following due to a couple blockbuster pieces of software towards the end of the 7th generation.

Nintendo will not have it easy and will fight for every single console sold. Both Sony and Microsoft will be in their Blue Ocean fishing for their customers. Nintendo will garner a respectable 2nd place because with the 3DS it acquired quite a few 3rd party developers to complement it's unrivaled 1st party software. However, due to Nintendo downplaying online gaming and still thinking of multiplayer as what occurs in the living room, your FPS, sports, and MMORPG gamers will choose either the PS4 or NeXtBox.

Microsoft will be last next generation because it finished as the hub for the latest Call of Duty 2K"fill in the year" series. Call of Duty by this time will have already gone the way of the Tony Hawk series early on into the 8th generation. Unable to compensate for the loss of Call of Duty, the NeXtbox will have become a nostalgic machine where it is known for up to  over 10 Halo games, 9 Gears of War games, 7 Assassin's Creed games, 5 Fable games, and the rest 3rd party shared with the PS4. Microsoft not developing strong 1st party software, 2nd party software, and the implosion of the Call of Duty series are the main reasons why the NeXtbox will come in last.

Regarding Kinect, it will still be around but nowhere to the extent of the Sony Move or Mii. With only one blockbuster title towards the end of the 7th generation, Microsoft will keep Kinect on life support via hundred dollar million ad campaigns touting shovelware and a couple of decent games every holiday season. It will sell, but nothing to the extent of Move or the 4 million it sold when it first came out.

The 3DS will put up a respectable showing, but it will not be another DS saleswise. Smart phone gaming this generation is ubiquitous and cheap with the most expensive smart phone games coming in at the $15-20 price range. Nintendo unable to lower the cost of their 3DS games, unable to match the graphics of smart phone games, and unable to match the innovation of smart phone games will sell mainly to diehard ex-DS users, which will be enough for 105 million, but nowhere near the 120 million plus the DS did before.

Sony with the failure of the PSP2 will call it quits with hand-helds. Sony prizing technological prowess and software touting that prowess will fail even more than the 3DS in countering the cheaper, higher graphics quality, and more ubiquitous smart phone games. Furthermore, the entry level price point of the PSP2 above $200 dollars, $35-50 softwar, and released well after the 3DS takes up the lion's share of the traditional hand-held market means the end of Sony's adventure in hand-held gaming.



Gilgamesh said:
axt113 said:
Gilgamesh said:
guiduc said:
Gilgamesh said:

PS4: 200 million (first console to do so)

Xbox 3: 95 million

Wii 2: 100 million

3DS: 100 million

PSP2: 150 million

PS2: 160 million :P

^Now that's a big generation


Why would Nintendo 3DS lose to the PSP2???

IMO, over priced and really no need for one right yet it's too soon, DS is still going strong they could still ride it for a few more years. And I just have a feeling PSP2 is going to kill, Sony seems to got an Ace with this one.


Its fun to dream, bu sooner or later you must wake up Gilgamesh

...lol this is coming from a guy who thinks Sony's going to drop out of the video game industry next gen hahaha

I highly doubt Sony is going to drop out of the video game industry next gen, but PS4 selling over 200 million while Xbox 3 get stuck at 95 million? That seems just as unlikely.

 

As for myself predicting, won't be bothered, will do so when next gen hopefully starts 2 years from now.