Nintendo won't leave until they cut the head off of the PS2. Revenge is a dish best served with motion.

I can see them waiting to release the Wii's successor in the west but the situation in Japan has already reached a tipping point IMHO. Next year the Wii will likely be pulling somewhat regular sub-10k weeks in Japan and I don't think anything short of a DQ10 release will turn that around. Not to mention DQ10 looking unlikely for a 2011 release anyway considering we have yet to have almost any word on it other than the initial announcement. I really can't see the Wii's successor coming any later than early 2012 in Japan.

Entirely believable.

Right now, the Wii is at 35,428,210 in the Americas. If it sells as many in the next 12 months as it did in the last 12 months, it will hit 45 million pretty much right at the start of November 2011. And that would place them at pretty much the optimal point to discuss Wii 2 if it were to be released in Holidays 2012.

Of course, he said in the US, in which case it'll take a little longer - but based on Holiday performance of the Wii, it could definitely achieve that by the end of 2011, especially if Skyward Sword has a strong impact on sales, or Nintendo has some massive title up their sleeve.

As I can't see Nintendo launching their system before 2013, anyway, I'd say that Reggie's pretty spot-on in his statement, and Nintendo won't start talking about a successor to the Wii until it hits about 45 million in the US.

Yes, you are right, the problem with Wii sales currently is JAPAN. No matter if they launch a kirby, Mario, Metrois, Donkey Kong or a Zelda game, that the sales will not go up. Dragon Quest X is the only hope left for the Wii (but as you say, not in a close future). The'thing' that could save the Wii may be a posible 'explosion' of the Wii Vitaly Sensor that may skyrocket Wii sales again the same way WiiFit did two yeas ago.

I hope Nintendo finds a solution so they can keep selling Wiis for a long time until we get the succesor.

What's the basis of this claim?

Also, I feel I need to point out a franchise that could catapult Japanese Wii sales up - Pokemon. The only "real" pokemon game for Wii so far was Pokemon Battle Revolution, a launch title. With Gen 5 pokemon out in Japan now, I'm expecting at least a new "stadium" pokemon title within the next year, probably early next year. It might even end up being a new Orre title.

 Keep in mind, the last Pokemon title to release in Japan on Wii at all was Pokepark, and that was in 2009. Meanwhile, Pokemon Black/White is selling far faster than its predecessors on DS and GBA.

 And Pokemon isn't the only franchise that can do it, it's just the one that is best-positioned to do so. The Last Story has great potential, being practically a new Final Fantasy in the vein of the old ones that sold so well in Japan. Also notable is Sonic Colors, which could help push Wii in Japan, as could Flingsmash and Mario Sports Mix - all three releasing in November.

I want a Wii HD that doesn't have 16 number long Friend codes. they need to make Wii Connect 24 more like PSN, XBL and Steam

Hey! I did my part to make the N6 come true!  I bought the Red Wii this week!  Come on people, together, we can make it happen!

XD

Instert notsureifserious.gif

I hope you were not serious, those games will be lucky to sell 10 extra Wii's put together. Seriously, Sonic Colours won't even reach 30k sold LT there and FlingSmash could sell 100k if lucky, but only because it comes bundled with a WiiMote Plus.

Wii's situation in Japan is abysmal right now, there's nothing coming up in the near future that could help it turn things around. That's why Nintendo is resorting to making new bundles, new colours, new WiiMote models, old re-releases and big ad campaigns. New SW isn't selling at all, even Kirby is a bomb in comparison to previous titles in the franchise.

As for The Last Story, I'm thinking, based on previous RPG's released for the Wii there, that the game will reach 250k max. Won't be moving consoles at all, the Wii base is already established as far as core gamers are concerned. Mario Sports Mix will not push sales, there's way too many Mario games already in Japan, even Sports and Party Mario games, it will mostly sell to the existing base, no doubt about that.

DQX is really the only game that will push sales significantly, but that's a good 2 years away if not more considering how long SE takes to release their games and that they haven't even named the game yet or shown a logo/screenshot, etc.

Pokemon won't make a difference either, unless it's a full fledged game, which won't ever make it to consoles.

I think Reggie is just calming down the waters, mainly words for possible investors, because of course, who would admit they've got a new console coming up just before the Christmas season? Remember that last year Nintendo said that they weren't going to cut the Wii price anytime soon, and then a couple weeks later the Wii had gone from 250$ to 200$.

yeah! there's too many Wii rumors floating around, it really makes you think..  Reggie doesn't want to say anyting because they dont want to lose sales this Christmass?  I think the Wii 2 will be here sooner than anybody would think..

E3 2011 Wii 2 announcement = Wii 2 fall 2011 or Wii 2 March 2012

Only a TRUE Pokemon would help rising Wii sales, not a 'PokePark' or 'Stadium' game, those games are crap and Japanese know it very well. But unfortunately, as many of you have already pointed out, a true Pokemon for a homeconsole is not gonna happen, so we only have Dragon Quest X left, that's a pity.