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Forums - Sales Discussion - Aaron Greenburg "LOL's" at VGChartz KINECT Sales Report on his Twitter!!!

Alby_da_Wolf said:
theprof00 said:
Jadedx said:
ethomaz said:
Jadedx said:

Ethomaz everyone can see that you have an ulterior motive.

And? My "ulterior motives" don't change the fact.


Atlest you finally admit that you have ulterior motives, but the only fact is that you were wrong about shipped, and you're wrong about this  aswell.

You cannot base his being wrong about sold  vs shipped on ulterior motvies. Companies have NEVER given sold thru to customer numbers since I've been here....almost 3 years. NEVER. I don't even think it's EVER happened unless very extenuating circumstances.

 

@heruamon

Greenberg "LOL"ed at our 3-day total. MS just reported on a 10-day total. 3 days =|= 10 days. Our 10 day shows 1.3M, and MS says over 1M. I don't understand how you can possibly confuse the two. :P

 

This. Actually 10 days MS and VGC numbers are quite compatible, it's just Greenberg that mixed up 3 and 10 days numbers and basing himself on that wrong premise LOLed without a valid reason at VGC. So neither MS nor VGC were wrong, but just Greenberg. And for some unknown reasons some people feel bound to defend him even against the hard facts.

What are you talking about? He did not  mix up the 3 and 10 day numbers, he commented on the 3 day numbers  on the 10th, when he made that comment kinect was not even out for 10 days.



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Hyruken said:
binary solo said:
Hyruken said:

There is no way he would comment if the numbers were lower. ...

Actually that's not true. If the actual sales numbers are considerably lower then over time VGC will become significantly over tracked and once data other data does come out (shipments at least) if people have been following VGC data up until then it's gonna diminish the PR potentialities if reactions are..."Oh so they're lower than what VGC was reporting". Hence discredit overestmate data so that people forget about it and are suitably impressed when the hard data is reported.

Not saying that's the case here, I'm just saying you can't be absolutely certain that VGC is severely under-tracked, just because Greenberg, a spinmeister, lol'd on twitter.



Sorry but i disagree. The guy to me seems like a raging egotistical douche. A bigtime Microsoft fanboy. I do not think he would talk about it at all if sales were not as good as reported. The way he words his comment is to look down upon vgc's numbers, laughing at them. It is very doubtful he would laugh about it if the numbers were over-tracked and the true numbers were actually lower. Add to that he is Mr MS PR man, how would that make him look by bringing attention to lower then expected sales of the new product they spent $500m advertising? Not good at all.

It seems to me his comments by some have been taken to imply that maybe sales of Kinect have not been so well. Which is actually the opposite to what most stores,analysts are saying. Most are saying it has done better then they expected. Some going so far as to say it is now the xmas must have thing. Best Buy today said they doubt they will have stock for xmas etc. The vibe of the whole thing to me does not suggest low sales. And in my opinion that is what his comments were really about.  As others have pointed out we will know the sales of the product at somepoint. If it has done bad they won't be able to hide the numbers forever.  But personally i don't think that is the case. I think he missed the bit where it said the numbers were for only 2-3 days of sales. Obviously there has been a whole week or so of sales since that period and naturally sales would have increased in that time. So the numbers could be right for the period they were taken from.

Vindication for me I think



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix

 

Ah, so much crow to hand out. "No way VGC Kinect sales estimates are correct", "no way Greenberg would LOL if Kinect sales were same or lower than MS numbers". Yah right. But some people have no honor these days and won't agree they were wrong, even when the facts are out.



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ioi said:

I've edited the latest Kinect article with comments on this. Essentially, given the "over 1m sold worldwide" comments, our data adjusts to around 550k week 1 in the Americas vs our initial estimate of 475k. So sure, we were 75k too low but I wouldn't have called that a significant enough amount and certainly not worthy of the Twitter status.

The article still says 1.3 in the beginning, you might want to change that.

OT: 1.3m with 10% error margin can be down to 1.17m, which is pretty well in line with "over 1 million" in my opinion.



Jadedx said:
Alby_da_Wolf said:
theprof00 said:
Jadedx said:
ethomaz said:
Jadedx said:

Ethomaz everyone can see that you have an ulterior motive.

And? My "ulterior motives" don't change the fact.


Atlest you finally admit that you have ulterior motives, but the only fact is that you were wrong about shipped, and you're wrong about this  aswell.

You cannot base his being wrong about sold  vs shipped on ulterior motvies. Companies have NEVER given sold thru to customer numbers since I've been here....almost 3 years. NEVER. I don't even think it's EVER happened unless very extenuating circumstances.

 

@heruamon

Greenberg "LOL"ed at our 3-day total. MS just reported on a 10-day total. 3 days =|= 10 days. Our 10 day shows 1.3M, and MS says over 1M. I don't understand how you can possibly confuse the two. :P

 

This. Actually 10 days MS and VGC numbers are quite compatible, it's just Greenberg that mixed up 3 and 10 days numbers and basing himself on that wrong premise LOLed without a valid reason at VGC. So neither MS nor VGC were wrong, but just Greenberg. And for some unknown reasons some people feel bound to defend him even against the hard facts.

What are you talking about? He did not  mix up the 3 and 10 day numbers, he commented on the 3 day numbers  on the 10th, when he made that comment kinect was not even out for 10 days.

Even worse for his capabilities, as if it did what it did in 10 days, bitching about the first 3 days sales tracked by VGC, when those numbers were a little bit low, and ioi adjusted them up later, as he just wrote, but they were already compatible even before with the sales it then accumulated in the longer period, was plain dumb. Numbers released by MS for the 10 days are compatible with those tracked by VGC, he complained a lot for almost nothing, and not happy of just complaining, he was a douche while doing so. Not MS' fault, this time nobody wants to blame them, just Greenberg's and nobody else's. Maybe obnoxious kids like him, but when he behaves this way he damages his company's reputation with anybody else.



Stwike him, Centuwion. Stwike him vewy wuffly! (Pontius Pilate, "Life of Brian")
A fart without stink is like a sky without stars.
TGS, Third Grade Shooter: brand new genre invented by Kevin Butler exclusively for Natal WiiToo Kinect. PEW! PEW-PEW-PEW! 
 


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theprof00 said:
Jadedx said:
ethomaz said:
Jadedx said:

Ethomaz everyone can see that you have an ulterior motive.

And? My "ulterior motives" don't change the fact.


Atlest you finally admit that you have ulterior motives, but the only fact is that you were wrong about shipped, and you're wrong about this  aswell.

You cannot base his being wrong about sold  vs shipped on ulterior motvies. Companies have NEVER given sold thru to customer numbers since I've been here....almost 3 years. NEVER. I don't even think it's EVER happened unless very extenuating circumstances.

 

@heruamon

Greenberg "LOL"ed at our 3-day total. MS just reported on a 10-day total. 3 days =|= 10 days. Our 10 day shows 1.3M, and MS says over 1M. I don't understand how you can possibly confuse the two. :P

You evidently didn't bother to read my comments, as it wasn't directed at the VGC numbers,....oh nvm...



"...You can't kill ideas with a sword, and you can't sink belief structures with a broadside. You defeat them by making them change..."

- From By Schism Rent Asunder

heruamon said:
theprof00 said:
Jadedx said:
ethomaz said:
Jadedx said:

Ethomaz everyone can see that you have an ulterior motive.

And? My "ulterior motives" don't change the fact.


Atlest you finally admit that you have ulterior motives, but the only fact is that you were wrong about shipped, and you're wrong about this  aswell.

You cannot base his being wrong about sold  vs shipped on ulterior motvies. Companies have NEVER given sold thru to customer numbers since I've been here....almost 3 years. NEVER. I don't even think it's EVER happened unless very extenuating circumstances.

 

@heruamon

Greenberg "LOL"ed at our 3-day total. MS just reported on a 10-day total. 3 days =|= 10 days. Our 10 day shows 1.3M, and MS says over 1M. I don't understand how you can possibly confuse the two. :P

You evidently didn't bother to read my comments, as it wasn't directed at the VGC numbers,....oh nvm...

Sorry, I was responding to this post:

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=3754501

ethomaz was commenting at how our numbers are currently higher than MS', and implying that when Greenberg LOL'ed, it was because we were overtracking it like we currently are.

Then you said "1.3 million is less than 475k...wow." As I understand it, you were implying that vgc's numbers said 475k, and MS' were 1.3 million. Because when he LOL'ed we were saying 475k, so you're challenging that argument by saying that MS' are 1.3M and that it isn't less than vgc's numbers but more.

Am I correct about your dialogue? That is correct English interpretation of what was said.

This is why I responded and said that 1.3M is a ten day total, and 475k is a three day total. Not only did they not co-exist, seeing as how 10 days just passed only yesterday, but those are both vgc estimated total. Neither of those numbers came from MS.

 



Jadedx said:
theprof00 said:
Jadedx said:
theprof00 said:
Jadedx said:
ethomaz said:
Jadedx said:

Ethomaz everyone can see that you have an ulterior motive.

And? My "ulterior motives" don't change the fact.


Atlest you finally admit that you have ulterior motives, but the only fact is that you were wrong about shipped, and you're wrong about this  aswell.

You cannot base his being wrong about sold  vs shipped on ulterior motvies.

alterior as in "alternate"

And that's about as productive as any balanced individual can be in this thread.



The biggest problem is that there is no official public source of numbers.

VGC tries its best ... and usually gets pretty darn close.  

But video games  will never be taken seriously as a medium/art until there are official third-party releases like there seem to be with every other entertainment medium.

But instead, it seems like those in charge are happier poking fun of those try to provide estimates. Very mature behavior.

We all know that Kinect will do well -- at first. But is the market larger then 5-7M for this item? And is the market large enough for people to third parties to make games for it? Those are the long-term questions which will take time to answer.

 

Mike from Morgantown



      


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heruamon said:

You evidently didn't bother to read my comments, as it wasn't directed at the VGC numbers,....oh nvm...


The problem is we DID read your posts. You were attempting to crap on VGChartz numbers based on a Microsoft press release that backs them up. It was very funny to read towards the end.



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