Now that the quarterly reporting is done and all the uproar has subsided. How about we predict the last 3 months of the year shipments.
Last Year:
360 5.2Million
PS3 6.5Million
Wii 11.3Million
2008
360 6.0Million
PS3 4.5Million
Wii 10.4Million
My thoughts:
With the launch of Move during this past Qtr Sony was able to ship extra consoles with the addition of a new SKU and expected boost of new motion controlled sales. With that in mind I believe that PS3 shipments will fall about halfway between where they were in 2009 and 2008. So look at PS3 shipments of about 5.5M.
With highly hyped Kinect launch in November which includes 2 bundle SKUs (4G and 250G) and the Holiday Bundle for the 250G the 360 should see a sizeable jump in shipments compared to the last Qtr. Last Qtr saw the release of the Halo Reach Bundle which added a few 100 thousand to the shipments, but also saw initial release of new S Skus in a staggered release while older models were cleared out. I see 360 shipments in the 7M range.
Wii sales and excitement have dropped considerably from the past 2 years. Wii sales in 2010 compared to 2009 in October will fall about 1M. I am expecting this Qtr shipments to fall to about 8M range.
Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.








Next Gen
