Absolutely. It will pass 8 million by then.

Yup

Extra 2 weeks of sales (which will both be over 150k at this rate)

Strong xmas HW wise compared to 2007

470k lead

Started rising earlier/faster then Halo 3.

7.5 - 8 mill, hopefully the latter!

I think you're batshit insane.

I reckon it has a shot seeing how it is one of the "hottest" things in America, other than Black Ops and Kinect at the present, I would warrant a guess it would come either really close(Probably about 7.7m) or JUST breach the 8M mark. Black Friday sales could be mental.

If it doesn't reach 8M, then it'll be 100/200k under, not more, but will likely be over.

i think it has a very good chance, i surely hope it does it. a awesome game  :)

Agreed, if the AI were a bit stupid at times, this game does deserve a recognition or two.

no chance

plus COD will further break its sales

will come up short unless vgc adjusts there numbers for it in the near future based on Oct Nov or Dec NPDs but with what is givin now im saying no

its sales are dramatically down in EMEAA same time frame with halo3 which is shocking considering how strong 360 HW has been there since slim launch which would lead me to believe most of its recent HW numbers where rebuys

its also been just slightly ahead of halo3 WW recently and it should only get worst with COD BO launching, back in 07 COD phenomenon was just beginning with MW1 since then with the releases of WaW MW2 and the surprisingly good BO both SP and MP it will most likely hurt reach more than MW1 did to halo3

which is leading me to believe that its sales from now till then will be just on par or slightly ahead of halo3 and looking at the chart its going to need to be more that slightly ahead of what 3 did in the remaining timeframe in order to hit 8M

COD will likely have an effect on sales but unlikely as high as you assume it to be, if Reach drops down in price by Christmas it is likely that those pesky 13 year olds will just bugger their mums into purchasing both COD AND Reach. At the present, in N.America, Amazon has the price difference of $4 between them, so it is likely that Reach will drop in price later on, in UK the difference is less than £1, bottom line, they're both just as likely to be on the Christmas list. Although, I would not underestimate the power of Second hand games market.. In UK it's MASSIVE.