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Forums - Sony - Could GT5 flop? (as in do disappointing sales)

It could but probably wont flop especially if the bar is 5 million



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there is always a chance....



Too unlikely to happen.

Even sony new IP's are 2-3m sellers I dont see how GT5 could do worst than those when its a established IP.





MARCUSDJACKSON said:
themanwithnoname said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:

i'm not sure! if so where did 15m people go? did they just drop of the face of the earth.

i think GT5P 3m is a good mark to judge GT5 by! if you think about it tradition demos don't sell 3m units so just multiply it by 2 and 6m is what most likely the sells will be by the end of the yr 10m by summer of next yr and 15m by the end of holiday season 2011 or more. 

i need to know more about how GT sells so i can do a more accurate depiction of possible sells, but anything can happen so.


15 million at the end of next year? Is that really your prediction?

well how long do you think it will take thats if you think it will reach 15m.

i no longer make predictions. it's an estimated guise based on previous sells.

read my last sentence in my previous post, but i am dieing to know what you think.

The best selling GT game, which is GT3, reaches 14.89 mil units sold with a few years of bundling and a little more than 7 millions in NA alone. Yet you expect GT5 to outsell it in a little over a year from its NA release date. I'm interested to know how you estimated "based on previous sells".

I also read the last sentence of your previous post. You mentioned that "i need to know more about how GT sells so i can do a more accurate depiction of possible sells" which means you don't know how previous version of GT sold. Then you said in the second post that " it's an estimated guise based on previous sells." which means you know  how previous verison of GT sold since that's where your estimate came from. The two statements contradict each other. Can you elaborate?



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

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tuscaniman said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:
themanwithnoname said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:

i'm not sure! if so where did 15m people go? did they just drop of the face of the earth.

i think GT5P 3m is a good mark to judge GT5 by! if you think about it tradition demos don't sell 3m units so just multiply it by 2 and 6m is what most likely the sells will be by the end of the yr 10m by summer of next yr and 15m by the end of holiday season 2011 or more. 

i need to know more about how GT sells so i can do a more accurate depiction of possible sells, but anything can happen so.


15 million at the end of next year? Is that really your prediction?

well how long do you think it will take thats if you think it will reach 15m.

i no longer make predictions. it's an estimated guise based on previous sells.

read my last sentence in my previous post, but i am dieing to know what you think.

15 million people did not fall off the face of the earth but I'd make a bet at least half of them moved to the 360. You'd have to be crazy if you think GT5 is going to be the best selling in the series when the PS3 has sold 1/4 of what the PS2 sold. The attach ratio would have to be ridiculous for this to happen.


alot of gamers wait for that one big game to get there console of chocie. i still don't see your statement "I'd make a bet at least half of them moved to  the 360" as a reason for GT5 not selling 14 or 15m units.

nothings stopping that half your referring to from getting PS3's for GT5. you may say theres no logic behind it, but other then the fact that Bungie isn't developing the Halo after reach that wouldn't stop it from sell 12m unit unless they really screw it up. 



saicho said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:
themanwithnoname said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:

i'm not sure! if so where did 15m people go? did they just drop of the face of the earth.

i think GT5P 3m is a good mark to judge GT5 by! if you think about it tradition demos don't sell 3m units so just multiply it by 2 and 6m is what most likely the sells will be by the end of the yr 10m by summer of next yr and 15m by the end of holiday season 2011 or more. 

i need to know more about how GT sells so i can do a more accurate depiction of possible sells, but anything can happen so.


15 million at the end of next year? Is that really your prediction?

well how long do you think it will take thats if you think it will reach 15m.

i no longer make predictions. it's an estimated guise based on previous sells.

read my last sentence in my previous post, but i am dieing to know what you think.

The best selling GT game, which is GT3, reaches 14.89 mil units sold with a few years of bundling and a little more than 7 millions in NA alone. Yet you expect GT5 to outsell it in a little over a year from its NA release date. I'm interested to know how you estimated "based on previous sells".

I also read the last sentence of your previous post. You mentioned that "i need to know more about how GT sells so i can do a more accurate depiction of possible sells" which means you don't know how previous version of GT sold. Then you said in the second post that " it's an estimated guise based on previous sells." which means you know  how previous verison of GT sold since that's where your estimate came from. The two statements contradict each other. Can you elaborate?

i saw this one coming. my guise is based on what it sold and an estimated time that i had not time line for (hints the last sentence) cause last gen was my weakest gen in gaming while the 5th is my strongest which the gen of Mario kart which is the main racing game i played until this gen started, meaning last gen i didn't keep up with sells.

it was more of a guise of how it should have sold not how it sold. hope i didn't confuse you LoL.

and it looks like you answered the last sentence in my original post for one of the games in the franchise which would change my prediction to 8m.

who's that in your avatar?



it will flop as badly as Halo 3.



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Did I just see Gran Turismo and flop in the same sentence?



i dont think itll hit 10 million but flopping (lol) is not gonna be a issue. Though a nice slice of its fan bas has been taken by forza and such so it probably wont sell like the others.