I dunno why anyone thinks 360 will be more than about 15% up YoY once the initial boost dies down and the quasi price cut of clearance stock runs out. Realistically a redesigned unit without an associated price cut can't sustain major YoY sales increases for anything but a short period. Staggering the releases of Arcade and Elite will prolong the boost, but in EMEAA at least expect the 360 to reach it's low point of about 55K the week before Arcade launch, and then probably a further similar low point the week Move launches. Not because Move is launching, but because the Arcade boost will probably have worn off by that week, and the upward trend of sales leading to the end of the year won't quite have started; will probably start the following week, though if Kinect is as anticipated as people claim, 360's end of year upward trend will be dampened a little until Kinect launches. I think a 60-65K average for Aug to Oct is what I expect. Though the Arcade spike might lift that average somewhat.

If 360 falls to about 80K in the next chart (~34% drop) then it's pretty much on track for that 65K average. If it drops to 90-100K then the average will be significantly higher. Next week is really the bellwether week for 360's fortunes in EMEAA.

People predicting a fall all the way back to a 50K average are merely wishful thinkers (and aren't really considering the sales pattern we are heading in to over the next 3 months), as are people who think 80K will be the floor leading up to Kinect launch.

And what's with the PS3 is selling bad talk from a certain segment of the community? Nearly 1 year on and it's still selling at 11% up YoY. By comparison when 360 cut it's price in 2008 by this time in 2009 it was down YoY by about 2% (and probably running rather flat on average). And don't forget Wii had its $50 price cut late last year and it's now 30% down YoY. 11% up YoY in the face of a major HW boost for the 360 clearance sale and slim launch is a sales level Sony will be pretty pleased with I'd say.

darn, these numbers doesnt look favorable to wii

360 dominates

ps3 getting closer

maybe the guy who made the prediction might be right

What I was trying to say was that it wouldn't last two more years as the leading console(weekly sales).

I am sure it will continue selling well after two years, but not enough to be the leading console(weekly sales).

And if we align the consoles at launch the Wii is selling better than PS2, but it doesn't have the software support to continue selling after its successor launch like the PS2 had.

But its just my opinion, i can be wrong, and i would like to be wrong.

I think they are believing that the redesign will put the Xbox 360 up 15% YOY by Christmas and Kinect will push the Xbox 360 higher still. I don't think theres anyone who is suggesting that the redesign alone will do more than that. I wouldn't blame anyone for thinking that, from what I recall the Xbox 360 had a relatively weak Christmas last year so besting that is within the realm of possibility.

360 should be at 50M at the end of the year... Kinect will help that!

The other two consoles will decline alongside them as well. The generation is reaching saturation at this point, the software sales overall are falling so all consoles ought to fall soon after if you go by what The Source has said in his market analysis pieces. I don't believe the Wii has done selling just yet, its just that given the market it sells to IMO its probably suffering from the recession the most as the wider market has cut back on discretionary spending.

Sold out is the issue. Not enough supply for the demand. 360s is still sod out here only a day after stocks replenish. 

Should stay above 100k for weeks if M$ keep the supply going.

So I'm wondering now if next week the numbers are still in the 100K range what will people have to say then. I mean when the 360 does bad everyone points it out, and when it does good everyone finds something bad to focus on. I seriously feel if the 360 was ever able to explode in sales and outsell the Wii for 1st place this gen it would still be seen as something bad.

Oh the irony...

Too much projecting of fanboy wishes and desires in this thread.  Shoot, it happens in a number of threads regarding sales and sales forecasts.  It is really too early to say what the future will hold.  I say wait a month or two before tooting of one's horn regarding sales numbers.