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Forums - Sales - I'm Calling it: 3DS Launch Date Will be Revealed on July 29, 2010

TheSource on 19 July 2010

So...I think the Japanese 3DS release date is coming on July 29 with Nintendo's earnings report for the three months ending June 2010.

Reasons:

1) Nintendo said DS + 3DS hardware shipments would combine to reach 30 million units in the fiscal year ending March 2011. DS probably won't do more than 24-25m in FY 3/2011. To hit 5-6m 3DS has to launch somewhere in 2010...and that somewhere is likely to be Japan.

2) With a 2010 launch in Japan Nintendo has limited venues at which to announce a release data and build awareness. E3 has passed. Earnings results for July-Sept don't arrive until early November. TGS is in the fall. Gamescom is Europe/ western focused. That leaves the July 29 earnings release.

3) Nintendo said more info about launch timing and 3DS pricing would come after E3 2010.

4) DS models had 10-20% price cuts in Japan recently.

Thoughts?



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Severance on 19 July 2010

AwesomeSource



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SleepWaking on 19 July 2010

Well you never know for sure, but this sounds like pretty good reasoning to me. I really do hope they give us the release date, also I want to know which price they are aiming for.



Nintendogamer on 19 July 2010

hmm sounds plausible, I can see them annoucing their annual shipments ( Wii about 73.7M and DS 132M) and release some info bout 3DS, Japan this year eveywhere else next year.



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Ninten78 on 19 July 2010

I hope they release in North America/Europe in mid November to counter Kinect and Move



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dallas on 19 July 2010

I dont think think that your reasoning supports your conclusion, so do you have a contact telling you this source?



RCTjunkie on 19 July 2010

I don't know. Your reasoning makes sense, but it still seems early....



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mortono on 19 July 2010

They will announce the release date and other info when they feel like it. They could hold a press conference out of the blue if they wanted to, just like they did in February.

My guess is that the 3DS Launch schedule will mirror that of the DSi XL/LL, with Japan getting it first in November and everyone else getting it in March.



SleepWaking on 19 July 2010
mortono said:

They will announce the release date and other info when they feel like it. They could hold a press conference out of the blue if they wanted to, just like they did in February.

My guess is that the 3DS Launch schedule will mirror that of the DSi XL/LL, with Japan getting it first in November and everyone else getting it in March.


Naturally they can release info whenever they want, but revealing new info at a earnings report is something Nintendo likes to do. They are getting a lot of investments questions about the 3DS and Nintendo will probably fend off lots of those questions if they would at least say something like "Nintendo 3DS will launch in 2010 in Japan", but hopefully they will give us some more detail.



haxxiy on 19 July 2010

I'll give you a cookie and a firm handshake if you're right