I still think after watching the 360 slim sale like it has been. Either ninty will drop the wii in price again by 50 which is very possible or go with the other two and release a wii HD but have it to where yo ucan get a decent money on your old wii in a trade in. then i can see the wii selling big once again.

I don't think 360 will outsell PS3 this holiday. MOVE looks promising. GT5 will do numbers for Europe and Japan. SOCOM 4 may do numbers for America. Back in the PS2 days, SOCOM was bigger that god of war. SOCOM 1 sold 2.64mil in America. Previous iterations have probably left a bad taste on peoples's mouths. However, in this day and age shooters are the hottest thing and if zipper made this game right, it may sell a lot. However, Microsoft may announce a pricecut or some other surprise. Unless there's a pricecut, I don't see this trend lasting till this holiday.

@GameAnalyser

yeah, 7k for the second week of the 360 slim release in Japan is not too good, after a 17k opening week

when the PS3 slim released, it sold 150k in the first week in Japan only!

of course, it also had a price cut at the same time, so that was a big difference.

in the U.S I think 360 slim hardware sales will decline  but will settle a little above the point it was before the 360 slim release

My guess is 360's US sales settle in at ~10% up YoY through to the launch of Kinect. EMEAA Sales will settlle in at 2-5% up YoY. Japan sales will settle in at a few % down YoY. Overall weekly WW sales will be up 5-8% YoY through to Kinect launch.

What happens then can only be predicted if you have inside knowledge on Kinect pricing / bundling and 360 pricing strategies.

I think Wii will be cut in price again this year, another $50. Nintendo can afford to do it and still make a profit.

I dunno about PS3 though. If they want to keep sales momentum going in all regions (and Americas is important, they can't just ignore) then they will need to do something about price / perceived value. or they will lose a lot of momentum, and Move is not going to drive any momentum.

Wii is still the console of choice for people who are first time 7th gen console buyers who specifically want motion control. And it will remain the cheapest way to get into motion control gaming this holiday season.

Wii is in a steady position. 360 is [now] in a solid position. PS3 is in an uncertain position.

There will be no more mayjor sales changes in this console gen. We had other sales spike for PS3 and Xbox360 after a price cute and they vanished fast.

Most people who buy a xbox360 slim are xbox360 users anyway and want a quieter xbox.

360 slim will continue to dominate

If the 360 Slim number for July and August are above what they were a year or two ago, then yes, the bubble will last until the holidays when the Kinect comes out and further sustains the bubble.

If we see a tapering off, then the PS3 will have higher numbers for the year.

Xbox 360 will outsell the PS3 for this year. That was my prediction in December 2009. And I am confident that this will be the case.

Xbox 360s has shortages all over the US.

Amazon.com says they will get it in 4 days.
BestBuy: Store pickup not available, backordered within 1-2 weeks
Target: Arriving soon! Order now for shipment in 2 to 4 weeks
gamestop: currently not available online / Limit 1 per household

So meeting demand is the first step. The Europe Launch is about to happen in 2 weeks. The Slim Aracde releases this fall in US and probably worldwide. Then there are games like Fable III, Halo Reach and Black Ops. And Kinect will sell hardware as well.

So all MS has to do is produce more 360s to meet demand.

I still find it interesting that in america the 360 is seen as  a wonderful machine yet in the rest of the world it is seen as a microsoft system hence waining sales

of course it will. Halo reach,  fable, and most multiplatform games look better and have better sales even with piracy on xbox 360.

and with kinect, it will be ........... just WOW