ArnoldRimmer said:
This thread should be archived. In 5 years from now, it will be funny to show people how completely wrong they were. Most of the people in this thread simply do not have enough knowledge about the various types of 3D displays.
Autostereoscopic displays (= the type of display built into the 3DS) will be extremely popular very soon - you will soon find them in lots of mobile phones, portable gaming devices etc. But their success will be limited to small, portable devices for quite a few years. And it's not like this kind of technology simply does not work on big screens - it does. But: The 3D effect on these displays is significantly worse than on displays that require 3D glasses. And, even worse, it only works for one person sitting directly in front of the TV. And those displays are much more expensive than 3D screens that require glasses - who is going to put a 10.000 dollar 3DTV in his living room that only one person can actually enjoy? Well, there are so called multiview displays which deal with that problem. But they come with other, even bigger disadvantages that do not make them a realistic alternative. Philips was pretty much technology leader for 3DTVs without glasses when last year they suddenly stopped their investments because they realized the next couple of years 3DTVs will only be successful with glasses.
3D displays will be extremely successful very soon - in small, mobile devices without glasses, in 3DTVs with glasses.
|
Yeah, 3D glasses based TVs have been so successful after 3 months they have had 70% of the revenue the Dreamcast achieved on its launch day even though the Dreamcast was (less than) 20% the cost of these TVs.
Right now people are avoiding 3DTV like the plague even though 3DTVs are not (that) much more expensive than HDTVs; and I think it is fair to attribute a lot of the lack of success of these 3DTVs to the fact that people don't like glasses based 3D displays.
You're correct in saying that the glasses-free 3D displays are not ready for a home theater environment yet, but I believe that 3DTV will follow a similar adoption path that HDTV did; and the release of viable, affordable, glasses free 3DTVs will have a similar effect in the market as low-cost Plasma and LCD HDTVs did.
Or to put it another way, HDTVs were introduced in the mid 1990s and remained a niche product for videophiles until people were able to buy a $1000 Flat Screen HDTV.