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Forums - Sales - My PS Move and Kinect game sales predictions

This is only for games that REQUIRE Move/Kinect as other games that just use it like Killzone 3/SOCOM4/LBP2/Singstar Dance/Fable 3/Child of Eden, etc might sell well for other reasons. If I missed anything or if I listed a game that doesn't require the device let me know so I can add/remove it. From my analysis and expectations, and talking strictly about games that require the devices, Kinect is having an advantage. Before you criticize, think of the casual market, MS is already ahead of Sony with showing the thing on Jimmy Fallon and having kiosks at all MS stores across the US. Plus the casual don't care at all if a game sucks or not like for example: http://www.metacritic.com/games/platforms/wii/justdance

 

So here are my predictions, remember I'm not predicting which technology is better, just predicting sales based on past trends, marketing power, user base, etc. Some games might not be released in Japan at all, but I'm adding them here in case they are.

 

 

Move games:

Game USA Japan Others WW
Eyepet >300k ~40k >700k >1 million
Sports Champion >1 million 50k >1 million >3 million
Start The Party ~200k 30k ~500k ~800k
Sing And Draw 100k 200k 100k 400k
TV Superstars 400k 20k 600k ~1 million
Sorcery ~500k 40k ~400k >1 million
The Fight Lights Out ~250k 20k ~250k ~600k
Zumba Fitness >500k 50k >500k >1 million
The Shoot 100k 40k 100k ~250k
Time Crisis: Razing Storm 300k 100k 300k >500k
Heroes on the Move >350k ~70k 500k ~1 million
Tumble 80k 80k 80k ~250k
Kung Fu Rider 100k ~70k ~75k >250k
UFC Trainer >200k 10k 100k >300k
         

 

Kinect Games:

Game USA Japan Others WW
Kinect Adventures >1 million 50k >900k >2 million
Kinectimals >500k 85k >1 million > 1.5 million
Kinect Sports >1.5 million 80k

>1.5 million

> 3 million
Dance Central > 2 million 100k >2.5 million > 5 million
Star Wars > 3 million 10k >300k > 3.5 million
Kinect Joy Ride 300k 15k 500k >900k
The Biggest Loser ~500k 5k ~100k ~600k
Your Shape Fitness Evolved >2 million 100k >2 million >4 million
Dance Masters 200k 50k 300k >500k
EA Sports Active 2.0 ~500k 50k ~450k ~1 million
Zumba Fitness >800k 10k >700k >1.5 million
Deca Sports Freedom ~100k 30k ~100k ~250k
Adrenalin Misfits 50k 40k 40k ~130k
UFC Trainer 300k 5k 100k >400k
Milo and Kate ~750k 35k ~600k ~1.5 million
Sonic Free RIders ~800k ~75k ~800k > 1.5million

       

       

 

 

 

 

 

 



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sonic free riders is a xbla so we will never know the sales

Dunno about move, don't have a ps3 anyway

Kinect Games:

Game USA Japan Others WW
Kinect Adventures >1 million 25k >650k ~2 million
Kinectimals >600k 35k >800 million > 1.5 million
Kinect Sports >2 million 40k

>1.5 million

~4 million
Dance Central > 1 million 30k >2 million > 3 million
Star Wars > 1.75 million 15k >750k > 3 million
Kinect Joy Ride ~200k 15k ~400k >600k
The Biggest Loser ~300k 0k ~50k ~350k
Your Shape Fitness Evolved >250k 15k >450k
>800k
Dance Masters 100k 0k 200k ~300k
EA Sports Active 2.0 ~550k 15k ~550k ~1 million
Zumba Fitness >250k 10k >450k >700k
Deca Sports Freedom ~100k 10k ~100k ~250k
Adrenalin Misfits 50k 0k 40k ~100k
UFC Trainer 300k 0k 100k >400k
Milo and Kate ~750k 50k ~600k

~1.5 million



How many MOVE / Kinect sales are you estimating then?


Seems like at least 3 million move

and at least 10 million kinect - more like 10 million for those star wars sales.



oh man if those numbers become true the move is da doomzed



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i think alot of the ps move games will sell much better than you think, and I don't think casual games will sell as well as you think, just look at 3rd party  casual games for evidence of that.



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I think those numbers are exagerated, I doubt star wars would get 3 million worldwide, especially cosidering how much the force unleashed got



I would rather buy the Kinect games, I see so much potentials.

Move hasnt done it for me it, it all seems like a tech demo to me.



 Next Gen 

11/20/09 04:25 makingmusic476 Warning Other (Your avatar is borderline NSFW. Please keep it for as long as possible.)
kowenicki said:

eyepet doesnt need move.

and its been out for a very long time in the Others region.  about 400k so far I think.


The US version does, and so does JP and the EU re release that will replace the version that's out now.



I Think that MS will bundle Kinect Sports or Adventure with kinect, so one of them will sell more than 5m.

I'm thinking that there is a posibility that MS will sell Xbox 360 "Arcade" with kinect without the regular contoler for U$ 249... that will be a hit! 



Just like with most PS3 exclusives Quality is first priority ... quantity follows quality after...

I just stick to what matter most ... my quality PS3 games. Thanks for the post, dude.



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