This is only for games that REQUIRE Move/Kinect as other games that just use it like Killzone 3/SOCOM4/LBP2/Singstar Dance/Fable 3/Child of Eden, etc might sell well for other reasons. If I missed anything or if I listed a game that doesn't require the device let me know so I can add/remove it. From my analysis and expectations, and talking strictly about games that require the devices, Kinect is having an advantage. Before you criticize, think of the casual market, MS is already ahead of Sony with showing the thing on Jimmy Fallon and having kiosks at all MS stores across the US. Plus the casual don't care at all if a game sucks or not like for example: http://www.metacritic.com/games/platforms/wii/justdance
So here are my predictions, remember I'm not predicting which technology is better, just predicting sales based on past trends, marketing power, user base, etc. Some games might not be released in Japan at all, but I'm adding them here in case they are.
Move games:
| Game | USA | Japan | Others | WW |
| Eyepet | >300k | ~40k | >700k | >1 million |
| Sports Champion | >1 million | 50k | >1 million | >3 million |
| Start The Party | ~200k | 30k | ~500k | ~800k |
| Sing And Draw | 100k | 200k | 100k | 400k |
| TV Superstars | 400k | 20k | 600k | ~1 million |
| Sorcery | ~500k | 40k | ~400k | >1 million |
| The Fight Lights Out | ~250k | 20k | ~250k | ~600k |
| Zumba Fitness | >500k | 50k | >500k | >1 million |
| The Shoot | 100k | 40k | 100k | ~250k |
| Time Crisis: Razing Storm | 300k | 100k | 300k | >500k |
| Heroes on the Move | >350k | ~70k | 500k | ~1 million |
| Tumble | 80k | 80k | 80k | ~250k |
| Kung Fu Rider | 100k | ~70k | ~75k | >250k |
| UFC Trainer | >200k | 10k | 100k | >300k |
Kinect Games:
| Game | USA | Japan | Others | WW |
| Kinect Adventures | >1 million | 50k | >900k | >2 million |
| Kinectimals | >500k | 85k | >1 million | > 1.5 million |
| Kinect Sports | >1.5 million | 80k |
>1.5 million |
> 3 million |
| Dance Central | > 2 million | 100k | >2.5 million | > 5 million |
| Star Wars | > 3 million | 10k | >300k | > 3.5 million |
| Kinect Joy Ride | 300k | 15k | 500k | >900k |
| The Biggest Loser | ~500k | 5k | ~100k | ~600k |
| Your Shape Fitness Evolved | >2 million | 100k | >2 million | >4 million |
| Dance Masters | 200k | 50k | 300k | >500k |
| EA Sports Active 2.0 | ~500k | 50k | ~450k | ~1 million |
| Zumba Fitness | >800k | 10k | >700k | >1.5 million |
| Deca Sports Freedom | ~100k | 30k | ~100k | ~250k |
| Adrenalin Misfits | 50k | 40k | 40k | ~130k |
| UFC Trainer | 300k | 5k | 100k | >400k |
| Milo and Kate | ~750k | 35k | ~600k | ~1.5 million |
| Sonic Free RIders | ~800k | ~75k | ~800k | > 1.5million |
