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Forums - Sales - Metroid: Other M sales predictions thread

Rhonin the wizard said:

I just did a quick check, so far this year 25,719,004 Wii games have been sold, while between Week Ending 12th Sep 2009 and Week Ending 03rd Jan 2009 26,369,995 Wii games were sold. The difference is 650,991 units. Not something I would call "fast collapsing".

lol.  So the period Iwata pointed to specifically as when Nintendo dropped the ball (holiday 2008 with Wii Music and Animal Crossing) still moved more software than the period in which they launched two 10m selling titles (NSMBWii and Wii Fit Plus)?

Take out all 1st party games, and what do the totals look like?



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jarrod said:
Rhonin the wizard said:

I just did a quick check, so far this year 25,719,004 Wii games have been sold, while between Week Ending 12th Sep 2009 and Week Ending 03rd Jan 2009 26,369,995 Wii games were sold. The difference is 650,991 units. Not something I would call "fast collapsing".

lol.  So the period Iwata pointed to specifically as when Nintendo dropped the ball (holiday 2008 with Wii Music and Animal Crossing) still moved more software than the period in which they launched two 10m selling titles (NSMBWii and Wii Fit Plus)?

Take out all 1st party games, and what do the totals look like?

My bad, it was supposed to be "Week Ending 03rd Jan 2009 and Week Ending 12th Sep 2009", though the numbers were correct.

I don't think I should point this out, these numbers are only for EMEAA.

I fail to see what would be achieved if I removed the Wii's best games.



Rhonin the wizard said:
jarrod said:
Rhonin the wizard said:

I just did a quick check, so far this year 25,719,004 Wii games have been sold, while between Week Ending 12th Sep 2009 and Week Ending 03rd Jan 2009 26,369,995 Wii games were sold. The difference is 650,991 units. Not something I would call "fast collapsing".

lol.  So the period Iwata pointed to specifically as when Nintendo dropped the ball (holiday 2008 with Wii Music and Animal Crossing) still moved more software than the period in which they launched two 10m selling titles (NSMBWii and Wii Fit Plus)?

Take out all 1st party games, and what do the totals look like?

My bad, it was supposed to be "Week Ending 03rd Jan 2009 and Week Ending 12th Sep 2009", though the numbers were correct.

I don't think I should point this out, these numbers are only for EMEAA.

I fail to see what would be achieved if I removed the Wii's best games.

The point was that in terms of sales, Nintendo delivered a subpar holiday lineup in 2008, versus arguably their best holiday lineup in 2009.  That's the only reason they're at all close, because it was Disaster / Animal Crossing / Wii Music versus Wii Sports Resort / Wii Fit Plus / NSMB Wii.



jarrod said:
Rhonin the wizard said:
jarrod said:
Rhonin the wizard said:

I just did a quick check, so far this year 25,719,004 Wii games have been sold, while between Week Ending 12th Sep 2009 and Week Ending 03rd Jan 2009 26,369,995 Wii games were sold. The difference is 650,991 units. Not something I would call "fast collapsing".

lol.  So the period Iwata pointed to specifically as when Nintendo dropped the ball (holiday 2008 with Wii Music and Animal Crossing) still moved more software than the period in which they launched two 10m selling titles (NSMBWii and Wii Fit Plus)?

Take out all 1st party games, and what do the totals look like?

My bad, it was supposed to be "Week Ending 03rd Jan 2009 and Week Ending 12th Sep 2009", though the numbers were correct.

I don't think I should point this out, these numbers are only for EMEAA.

I fail to see what would be achieved if I removed the Wii's best games.

The point was that in terms of sales, Nintendo delivered a subpar holiday lineup in 2008, versus arguably their best holiday lineup in 2009.  That's the only reason they're at all close, because it was Disaster / Animal Crossing / Wii Music versus Wii Sports Resort / Wii Fit Plus / NSMB Wii.

2008 also had Super Smash Bros. Brawl, Mario Kart Wii, and Wii Fit, and Wii Sports Resort was not launched during the winter holidays. And I have yet to see any proof on piracy causing sales to fall.



Rhonin the wizard said:
jarrod said:
Rhonin the wizard said:
jarrod said:
Rhonin the wizard said:

I just did a quick check, so far this year 25,719,004 Wii games have been sold, while between Week Ending 12th Sep 2009 and Week Ending 03rd Jan 2009 26,369,995 Wii games were sold. The difference is 650,991 units. Not something I would call "fast collapsing".

lol.  So the period Iwata pointed to specifically as when Nintendo dropped the ball (holiday 2008 with Wii Music and Animal Crossing) still moved more software than the period in which they launched two 10m selling titles (NSMBWii and Wii Fit Plus)?

Take out all 1st party games, and what do the totals look like?

My bad, it was supposed to be "Week Ending 03rd Jan 2009 and Week Ending 12th Sep 2009", though the numbers were correct.

I don't think I should point this out, these numbers are only for EMEAA.

I fail to see what would be achieved if I removed the Wii's best games.

The point was that in terms of sales, Nintendo delivered a subpar holiday lineup in 2008, versus arguably their best holiday lineup in 2009.  That's the only reason they're at all close, because it was Disaster / Animal Crossing / Wii Music versus Wii Sports Resort / Wii Fit Plus / NSMB Wii.

2008 also had Super Smash Bros. Brawl, Mario Kart Wii, and Wii Fit, and Wii Sports Resort was not launched during the winter holidays. And I have yet to see any proof on piracy causing sales to fall.

Mario Kart & Wii Fit were early/mid spring releases, WSR was late summer release.  It missed your arbitrary cutoff by about a month, versus about six months for those.  SSBB was delayed in EU, but it was still a month before WSR.

And the point still was putting Nintendo's weakest holiday lineup ever against their strongest holiday lineup ever, and the weakest still won for overall software.  Take out that differentiating factor (Nintendo) and it's landslide change.



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ryuzaki57 said:

People sure overestimated Metroid's selling potential. With an audience that flees anything with a "mature" rating, there's no way a title like Other M (even though it has really good reviews) would reach a million. It might have been successful on PS3/360 lol


good reviews? you call 80% average for a major 1st party Nintendo game good? It's the worst rated metroid game, if anything the reviews and word of mouth of this game are hurting it. Metroid can do decent numbers, but it needs marketing hype and good word of mouth. Prime did 2million on that alone..and it's a game that pretty much most casuals/mainstream will hate due to it's isolated game design. Other M on paper should have been on of the better sellign metroid games but it will be one of the worst. It's got nothig to do with being a metroid game...also it's not even rated M not that it matters anyway.



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Unfortunately sales are very dissapointing, but i personally really love it, it feels very fresh and unique, i'm about halfway through now. Great game, everyone who likes action games should buy this one.



RolStoppable said:

Hereby I declare that I won this prediction thread. My 13 weeks prediction will be off the most out of the three, but when it comes to lifetime sales my prediction will be the closest one by far.

A couple of months ago I made a thread about being "Nintendo" and "not Nintendo". Metroid: Other M perfectly illustrates what "not Nintendo" is. A game that wouldn't be bad at its core, but is crippled by garbage like cutscenes and the wish to be like a modern hardcore game.


Congratulations.

 

I knew I should have been more pessimistic :p



A game I'm developing with some friends:

www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm

It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.

I do believe this game got hurt a lot by bad reviews, I mean Game Informer gave it a 6.5 , too bad, I really do think this game is quite alright maybe not as good as the Prime series but a game worth checking out and looking at how the sales are doing this game might end up with 700k  period.