thranx said:
I just don't agree with this kind of deficit spending. I think we do the right thing, take a hit now, and recover. Trying to spend our way out will just make it last longer.
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Why?
I believe that the main cause of the recesion was due to there being an inflationary gap (we were producing beyond the long term rate of growth), but more importantly, because of the loss in assets. People used to think they were wealthy due to their assets (HOMES, stocks, etc) being so highly valued. Now that value plummeted. Although their income didn't change, people began to spend less and saving more.
This meant that companies had to produce less, resulting in layoffs, and more importantly, a REDUCTION in INVESTMENT.
We then see the multiplier take an ugly reverse effect, where people spend less, get fired, then spend even less, get fired, etc.
The long term takes a REALLY long time, as it is the process of expectation for DEFLATION to adjust. People have to accept lower wages.
But Krugman has other worries. Our LONG TERM OUTPUT itself can be reduced.
People can succumb to drugs, become permanently depressed workers. Our kids will not get proper education, they won't be able to land early jobs, reducing human capital. I mean, you guys are over OVER estimating how quickly we can "ride it out".
Hate to break Godwin's law, but guess what gave Hitler power? The great recession/depression.