I've been trying to swear off VGChartz, so this will be one of my breif posts.
Keynesism makes the faulty assumption that the government can usually spend money to fix the problem(s) at hand by instilling more consumer confidence, and re-start the spending cycle.
The faulty assumption lies on 2 premises:
- The government can and will spend money in areas that will make us more productive, and better off. During Keynes lifetime, this was true. There was a large amount of capital improvements that could of taken place that could easily improve people's lives with the utilization of basic human capital. In the new millennium, this assumption is false, given what the past president (Bush) and current president (Obama) used government funds on. The vast, and I mean VAST majority of funds went into projects that employed people, but did not increase productivity. For example, I have a stimulus-funded project near my house. There is no lasting benefit to the project...Just a few contstruction jobs. When this is over, they will be let go, and no real enhancement will have taken place, given the road already existed, and was merely replaced. Likewise, Bush gave everyone about $1200 of free government money. Point 2 explains why this was incredibly stupid. At any rate, if the government *did* want to do the right thing with stimulus money, it could have used it on something that was totally impossible via private entities, much in the same way of the Hoover Dam. Bush/Obama could have funded a space elevator to give us new space-based jobs, but that didn't happen.
- The money earned by jobs stays within the system that gives it away. Right now, America is facing a major trade imbalance....To the tune of $800 billion a year. With the imbalance being approximately 1/20th of GDP, we must understand that a significant amount of capital is going overseas. What does this mean? It means two things:
- By improving consumer confidence (retail spending), you do more to endanger the fundementals of the system, as opposed to helping it. The fact is, any increase in Akvod's shoddy chart equates to more money (currently) going to other nations, and losing money to others. In order to help America out, we need a neutral trade balance instead of 1/20th of GDP going overseas. Again, any improvement in retail spending does nothing for us, because we are simply sending that money to others.
- With the trade imbalance, less tax recipts are being rendered to our government. This means that the government will need to raise taxes exponentially higher to make up for the deficit. With a trade deficit, it is harder to neutralize any deficit spending, meaning that the government is far less reliable to reduce deficits in the wake of deficit spending.
In the end, it comes down to the fact that Keynes could not of comprehended massive trade imbalances post-WW2 (he died shortly after Bretton Woods and had he of lived, he would of most likely rejected his own theory in the wake of actual results), as well as the rise of social welfare, and expenses that simply do not correlate with good government spending.
Like SamuelRSmith said, the truth is that the government needs to allow for businesses to be as free as possible, and to cut the fat that caused the recession. If businesses cannot go bankrupt, reform, and re-build after a recession, we will be far worse off for it.
Ultimately, if the government would lower taxes, reduce regulations (whilst streamlining the major ones, to strengthen the needed ones), and simply allow people to create jobs themselves, we would be out of this mess. But instead, many governments like the US simply don't care about the fundementals of our economy, and would rather throw money at the problem, as opposed to fixing it.