richardhutnik said:
There are several definitions of faith, both of which are connected to some degree. The first is the considering of statements about reality to be true. The second means a reliance upon something. In both these cases, it depends on what one considers to be trustworthy as a means of either giving information that is accurate or to utilize and base one's life upon. In short, what does one consider sources of authority that is reliable that one checks with. This can be one's own reasoning, one's own senses, or other methodologies like religions systems, experience of others, or science. In all these, at the core, is an act of faith to trust that source of authority. So, in this, it comes down to faith.
In regards to falsifying, what has been shown to be falsified is the belief in causality. We have multitudes of examples of how doing something for the Xth time ended up not yielding the same results. Without being able to prove causality, then even the ability to falsify anything is suspect. One can only falsify that something happened at a certain time in a certain space, and that it has had multiple times. See "The Black Swan Theory" in regards to this:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory
So, the only thing we can say is that we personally don't have evidence for such being here. But that doesn't mean it is so. Also, we can't even say that such will still be true tomorrow, due to the issue with black swans. Not taking ownership over this, and accepting it, leads to people to develop flawed models that seem to work, but end up being subject to the butterlfy effect. We have witnessed a meltdown in financial markets due to people building mathematical models on how both housing prices ALWAYS go up somewhere (most recent) to one that factored in Russia not defaulting on its loans (look up Long-Term Capital Management for info on this). In both cases, a LOT of people got hurt, because individuals persumed that, based on their pure reasoning, and math, they couldn't be wrong.
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You're still playing with words.
Rationalism and scientific method work. They are proven day-in day-out by billions of people. I don't need to have blind faith in the method, I can assess its utility by its results and live with it as the temporary best tool. Especially because it's a self-correcting tool.
Again, please point me to an example of failure of the scientific method or of rationalism, since you claimed such cases exist.
Second, I actually read Taleb's "The Black Swan", and it is not about refuting induction or causality at large.
Strict induction has never been considered a source of absolute scientific results. Popper formalized the argument against induction in scientific theories, but obviously the problem dates back to early empiric schools.
Causality in the strict sense (microcausality) is never touched upon by Taleb. All he talks about are complex, empirical phenomena such as economic fluctuations - the ones you generally study with the tools of statistics not because they defy causality, but because we have no control over the myriad of input variables.
His whole point is about how much you want to trust a gaussian distribution when making statistical assumptions over the data in the past to gain predictive power over the data in the future in those cases where the extreme outliers bring results that are orders of magnitude more impactful than the average ones. In other words, he says that you can't use the gaussian distribution for risk assessment if extreme outliers effect decays with a power law instead of an exponential.
As you see, it's an entirely rational point, simply one that is overlooked by many economists and business managers/analysts, but that any mathematician won't even blink an eye upon.
A biologist before black swans were discovered wouldn't have told you that their existence was unthinkable or uselessly complicated or an offence to logic. Merely that the evidence at the time showed zero black swans over all the known species, so "there are no black swans" was an empirically correct statement on their knowledge base, not an induction. If someone came around and said that a black swan existed, he would be asked to show a proof, and no big amazement would follow if he did - as a black swan is really hardly any less plausible than a white one with regards to all scientific knowledge. If you had asked such a biologist of yore to bet a pound against the existence of the black swan, he would probably have. But bet his life? I dobut he would have.
All in all the black swan is about how bad people are at evaluating drastic consequences of marginal risks. How you can introduce this in a discussion about the god hypothesis, for which no empirical proof can be brought forth, really beats me.