@ shissy

it hit .65 million a week as soon as supply reached .65 million

it will definitely sell more then 30 mil in 08

Nice post it is realistic of a goal hwever it really depends on a couple of factors. Wii fit if it is as sucessful nintendo is gambling with that game in the US but after a while it will have legs i know im getting it god knows a fitness game is for me i need it lol.

 Actually, GTA had immense casual appeal. I spent more than a couple evening with a bunch of friends playing GTA in a casual fashion. It went something like this:

 One person picks up the controller and steals a car. He then proceeds to drive around doing crazy stunts until they die. Controller passes to the next person and game is reloaded. Second player steals a taxi and does missions at top speed, smashing into whatever traffic gets in the way until the taxi explodes. Player three picks up the controller and reloads. He then proceeds to steal a car and go on a murderous rampage, evading the police for as long as he can until he finally dies.

 I think you get the pattern. The point is that the game was played quite casually by both girls and boys, hardcore gamers and casuals. The missions weren't relevant, most of the time.

 A lot of these "hardcore" games aren't as hardcore as they're made out to be.

If Ninty can double its production in the coming year then it will easily surpass 60 million by the end of 08

 Existing hardcore gamers will still like hardcore games and I'd say that there is a non-negligible chance that some member of your formerly non-gaming family will take interest in a "hardcore" title at some point if they already own a console for casual games.

The idea is to make gaming into something that nearly everyone does. I mean that in the same sense as television is something that nearly everyone watches. We all watch different shows. Some shows attract a broad audience but that doesn't prevent shows that only attract a niche audience from being successful too.

Dear Mr Lucas: I really disagree with you & I think you are slightly insane.

The Wii is unlikley to reach 20m by the start of 2008, as you still seem so sure of, more like 17-18.

 Yes the Wii will remain huge next year, but it is not going to sell 60m in the next 12 months! Half that is possible though.

I think you are over-estimating the importance of Wii Fit. Excercise is not new. Excercise gimmicks are not new. Unfit people dont like to excercise. In fact unfit people hate excercise. Once people realise that its not a magic cure and you STILL HAVE TO WORK HARD, in a game or not, it'll trail off. It'll have an initial huge sales, for the first 2 or 3 months, maybe 6, but I dont think it will be particularly huge in the long term, I thin kit'll be a fad.

 The Wii has EASILY won this generation. Its over, end of story, cya later.....But Will the Wii outsell the PS2? Possibly, but its chasing what is still very much a moving target. The Wii will have to move things up a notch and have the complete consistency the PS2 has had to do it. Personally I cant see it happening. The PS2 is still huge the world over with probably another 20-30m sales left to come. I think the Wii has probably shown enough promise to say that it'll beat the (now dead) PS1 though.

240m is crazy talk, 500m should have you commited.

Danny, the Wii is selling twice as fast as the PS2, the fact is the Wii will likely accelerate as its price drops and its library gets deeper, and Wii fit will appeal to a lot because its cheap, its expandable and it has media support

@ Danny355

If they make wii fit fun enough, then it won't matter if it is hard work. Think of the addiction of a really fun game added to the desire for a fat ass to lose some weight. It is the perfect combination an no exercise gimmick in history has done that. If wii fit isn't fun then it won't be nearly as successful. Either way Americans right now are obsessed with TRYING to be healthy and diet to lose weight. Since most over weight people have obviously failed numerous other diets they would definitely try buying a wii if they really want to be skinny.

There is no way wii fit won't be a success, plus other games will end up using the balance board, so it will sell well for that reason.

You have such a steep opinion that makes us playstation owners feel like $hit.

Your signature will FAIL as will JOHN LUCAS AND HIS INSANE PREDCTIONS.