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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - To those who don't understand my 60 million in 2008 prediction

DMeisterJ on 28 November 2007

@ Gamerace

You let your 12 year old daughter play GTA?!?!?!?!? No wonder Jack Thompson is going crazy.



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leo-j on 28 November 2007

Dude, the wii wont make it to 20 million by the years end. Its imposssible.

17million is the target number.

18 million is possible(very likely if ninty increases stock)

Right now its 15, they need to produce 2 million wii's from now to decmber 31st(and they say they can only manage 1.8M)



 

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Gamerace on 28 November 2007
DMeisterJ said:
@ Gamerace

You let your 12 year old daughter play GTA?!?!?!?!? No wonder Jack Thompson is going crazy.

lol.  Actually no... but her mom does.



 

Astrodust on 28 November 2007
leo-j said:
Dude, the wii wont make it to 20 million by the years end. Its imposssible.

17million is the target number.

18 million is possible(very likely if ninty increases stock)

Right now its 15, they need to produce 2 million wii's from now to decmber 31st(and they say they can only manage 1.8M)

You are ignoring stockpiles and unsold Wii's in Japan that will move by the end of the year. It will be closer to 20 million then you think. I say 20 million for sure by January. Then 30 million around May.



 

 

Relias on 28 November 2007

The only reason that John's prediction won't come true is if Nintendo can't make that many. Otherwise I believe you John.



Boycotting the following:

1. Yoshi: He ate my car and spit out a toaster.

2. Igglybuff: Totally false advertisement. You can have as many as you like they don't buff nothing.

3. the Terms Hardcore/Softcore... We're talking Video Games. Not Porn.

4. The term Casual as relates to Gamers: We make them sound like outsider's that happen to play games.  If that were the case they'd own a PS3.

5. Donuts.... Beacause I drink Beer...... and the biggest fan of Donuts hates Beer.

6. Boycotts: Their so lame.

 

 

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Xeo_842 on 28 November 2007

60 million seems possible but I'm going with a max of 50 million.



Official member of the Sonic Support Squad!

Bet with OriGin: Within 1 year Super Smash Bros. Brawl will be ahead of Mario Kart Wii (when aligning the one whole year from each region). 2 week ban from Vgchartz for the loser. Edit: Darn! Looks like OriGin will win.

Zucas on 28 November 2007

60 million by the end of 2008 is possible but unlikely. The most units ever shipped in one year hasn't even been higher than that of 30 million units. DS, a handheld, holds the record with about 28 million shipped in one year. To think a console could have 40 million shipped in one year, despite it being the Wii, is simply close to impossible really. Not to mention the average amount of Wiis per month to be made would be over 3 million. It's just too unlikley. Very little possibility, although i still leave it in there cuase I've been surprised before.



Astrodust on 28 November 2007

Nintendo managed to crank out 20 million in year one. I don't see why they wouldn't be able to beef up production with China coming.



 

 

shrimpy_boy11 on 28 November 2007
Astrodust said:
Untamoi said:
Astrodust said:
shrimpy_boy11 said:
well maybe 45mill just maybe at end of 2008'

No way only 45 million. They will be at 20 million by January at the latest. And they will be at 30 million by May. They are also planning to expand to China next year from what I recall so there is a large chance that they won't decrease production next year at all. So lets say they can produce at least 2 million a month all next year. Then 60 million may end up being the minimum.


 If Nintendo would produce 2 million a month it would only mean 44 million total by the end of 2008. 20 million this year + 12*2 million in 2008. Actually they would have to produce 3.3 million a month to reach 60 million. Which i think is possible if they increase production very rapidly. But I think 50 million is more likely total and even that would require 2.5 million sales a month.


I think he was saying 45 million total by end of 2008. I could be wrong. I definately was referring to totals.

when will do you think nintendo will ramp up production? I guess after the holiday period like late Jan if not late Dec to quickly draw in the people that may have missed out on a wii this holiday period. Im saying by the end of 2008 nintendo will have 45-50 million shipped give or take 1-2mill... so thats about 25-30 million shipped in 2008



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Zucas on 28 November 2007
Astrodust said:
Nintendo managed to crank out 20 million in year one. I don't see why they wouldn't be able to beef up production with China coming.

 It just dont' work that way.  If Nintendo can't even churn out 30 million DS's in one fiscal year, what makes you think they can churn out 40 million Wii's in one year.  DS's are easier to produce than Wii by a lot.  It's just not a large possibility that'd they'd be able to increase production 2 fold in a year like that, or ever.  They may be able to hit 30 million for next year but that'd be pushing it.  Not to mention demand has to stay high for this to even matter as well.  I'm not saying it won't but there are a lot of factors that is just not being considered right now.