Non Sequor on 28 November 2007
jlauro said:
Non Sequor said:
thetonestarr said:
Estimating that the Japanese results will show Wii hardware sales at around 45,000 (a 36% climb from last week), if the Wii continues selling through Jan. 1 at the rates it's moving, it will end up selling in the vicinity of 3.5 million more consoles between now and the New Year. That would place it at approximately 17.5m total. This is also assuming that sales won't continue drastically growing as we move further into the holiday season, which I believe they very likely will. I'm going to leave my personal predictions out of this thread, however. In a similar vein, looking at 360's sales, we can expectit to finish this year with an additional 1.8-1.9m console sales at current rates, with about 15.5m total worldwide. Meanwhile, the PS3 will likely end with 1.7m additional, finishing around 8m total worldwide. Again, these are all rough estimates based on how sales are going now that we've officially entered into the holiday buying season. Things COULD possibly change drastically, and I wouldn't be surprised if each of those numbers end up being low. However, looking at the way numbers ran this past week (and weeks preceeding), it looks like the trend I'm estimating will be fairly accurate. FINAL ESTIMATED COUNT, DEC. 31, 2007 @ 2359: Wii - 17.5m, 360 15.5m, PS3 8m. |
The Wii has 14.86m worldwide now so maintaining the current rate (0.7m for 5 weeks) it would be in the vicinity of 18.5m not 17.5m.
The PS2 sold 610,000 six weeks before the end of 2005 (I'm counting the week ending January 1 as a week in 2005) and it went on to sell nearly 4.4 million in the next 5 weeks. Typically the strongest sales are in the 2 weeks before Christmas so Nintendo will probably increase shipments then to keep retailers happy.
I'm expecting the total to be in the mid 19m range by year's end with 20m not being impossible. |
What makes you think that Nintendo was able to increase production to keepup those rates. Last week and maybe next are from some stock piling, but demand has been too high throughout the year. Nintendo hasn't been able to keep retailers happy prior to the Christmas season, why do you think they can the last two weeks before Christmas? |
Nintendo is familiar with the holiday sales patterns of consoles. They have no incentive not to plan their shipments so that they stay in line with those patterns.
"Ho! Haha! Guard! Turn! Parry! Dodge! Spin! Ha! Thrust!" -- Daffy Duck
Non Sequor on 28 November 2007
mesoteto said:
its weird but has any other counsel a year into its life cyclele been able to still sell at this kinda of level--i mean i would like to say the wii will hit a crazy high number but i dont see it happening...not b/c of a lack of demand, but rather a lack of supply |
The PS2 sold 614,422 worldwide during the week ending November 25th, 2001. Once this weeks Japan numbers are released the Wii should be well ahead of that.
Also the PS2 sold 339,306 in North America that week and the Wii is well ahead of that. In fact, over the course of its lifetime, the PS2 has never sold more than 400,000 in North America during a week in November.
"Ho! Haha! Guard! Turn! Parry! Dodge! Spin! Ha! Thrust!" -- Daffy Duck
