Let´s assume the end of this gen (as far as home consoles go) will be around November/December 2012...according to NPD, the PS3 has sold around 12.5 million in NA (or just the U.S.?) as of March 2010...31/32 months from now, do you think it´ll have passed 20 million?

America: 25 million

Others: 35 million

Japan: 15 million

Total: 85 million

Gilga, you think the PS3 can sell 10 million more in Japan before next gen hits?

@ Gilga I'd say:

30 mil : US
45 mil : Others
10 mil : JP

The first few years oh PS3 sales were really bad and slow, now that Slim is out and price is down to a reasonable number sales are finally starting to take off, the PS3 is averaging about 30K a week in Japan, I remember 15K use to be it's average. Sales will continue to rise.

Americas:25-27
Others: 30-32
Japan: 10-12

It's currently on a 30-40k high off back to back 500k+ sellers (Yakuza 4 & Hokuto Musou) and Torne being an unexpected success.  It's Q2 lineup is dreadful though (it has less new upcoming releases than Wii even), and it's going to drop for sure.  Hell, it's been dropping 25% weekly the past two weeks post-Hokuto.  Golden week should alleviate that a little, but but after that it's probably in trouble until Q3/Q4.

PS3 will be lucky if it hits 10m ltd in Japan.  15m is pure fantasy.

22 million

As per the topic, lifetime I'll guess...

NA: 22m
EU: 31m
JP: 8m

WW: 61m

NA 21m

Others 30

JP 9


WW60m