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Forums - Sales - Black Friday (week) sales prediction thread

bchery21 on 26 November 2007
Kasz216 said:
Jandre02 said:
I think its unbelievable that some of you are actually having the Xbox360 outsell the PS3 2-1 or more. Even last week that didnt happen. End of the year buys would mostly be in favor of the more expensive console to gain sales, on top of that Walmart had the 10 free movie deal with the 80gb.

They most likely ordered lots and lots of extra consoles, and almost all walmarts are sold out of 80gb.

Out of 20 walmarts in my area, all are sold out but two. those two stores have Limited Stock. Compare that to both the Arcade and Premium bundles which are both in stock in every store in my area. Even the 40gb is partially sold out.

 

You must have a lot of time on your hands. Where did you find the time to go to 20 Walmarts?

yea, what kind of mile radius gives you 20 walmarts and still considered in your area?

wii - 350k

360 - 240k

ps3 - 200k (a little high, huh?)



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rasone77 on 26 November 2007

Wii- 500-600k
360- 200-300k
PS3- 100-200k

I think the Wii will be the runaway winner this week, I also see it blowing expectations out of the water. With all the Black Friday hype, and retailers knowing that the best way to get people into their stores was advertising Wii's, then I fully expect that som of them held back shipments to pad their inventory specifically for this day. Not to mention the Buy 2 get 1 free sale at TRU.

I see a boot in PS2 sales but not as much as some people predict, I still think the wise consumer is going to go with the 360 when making a decsion based on lack of Wii availability. (1 its cheaper, 2 its got more casual games, 3 children want Halo 3)

MS will get a boost but, since they are still in stock most places, I expect half of the Wii Numbers



Kasz216 on 26 November 2007
Jandre02 said:

@Kasz216

-Please tell me you're joking...

 

http://www.walmart.com/catalog/product.do?product_id=6526941 

Click on find a store and type in your Zip Code, if you are located in the US that is. 

 

I'm guessing you've never worked at a Wal-Mart before.



Munkeh111 on 26 November 2007
libellule said:
http://www.thebitbag.com/index.php/2007/11/26/ps3-systems-are-in-abundance-post-black-friday/


PS3 Systems Are In Abundance Post Black Friday


 I would assume that Sony still has a massive stock pile of systems, but of course this does show that there were not Wii like sales

 Wii: 350k

360: 250k

PS3: 200k 



Sqrl on 27 November 2007
Sqrl said:
NA only?

Well if we apply a doubling of last week we get this:

Wii - 505k
360 - 310k
PS3 - 175k

But looking at past trends here is my guess:

Wii - 300k
360 - 180k
PS3 - 110k

And by trends I mean that last year the DS, PS2, and 360 all had relatively minor bumps week over week.


 The doubling takes the cake, I was definitely off by a fair clip.  But at least I was correct that I had undercut the final numbers, I just didn't think it would be by that much =P

 

 

 
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fkusumot on 27 November 2007

Wow.

My Xbox360 and PS3 number was too high.
My Wii number was too low.


I Blame Wii Fit!

leo-j on 27 November 2007
Soriku said:
Wii - 600k
PS3 - 170-220k
360 - 450-500k

Final sales

 

wii-480k(sold out)

X360-255k(less of a boost than you expected)

PS3-175k(98% increase in sales, but not enough to attract too much)



 

mM
FishyJoe on 27 November 2007
FishyJoe said:
What about the DS? It's going to blow away everything with new bundles and healthy supply.

I'll say 750k worldwide for the DS.

LOL, my number was way too low! In this case I don't mind being wrong!



shams on 27 November 2007
shams said:

NA only:

Wii - 350k

PS3 - 120k

360 - 220k

 

Worldwide:

Wii - 550k

PS3 - 250k

360 - 300k

Meh, way too low for the US - over conservative on all platforms :P

DS will break 1m this week (wow! - still 4 weeks from Xmas!!), Wii will be approx > PS3 + 360

Looks like the 360 didn't take enough of a lead in the US again - worldwide looks like another stalemate, maybe with the 360 winning by 10k (or losing by 10k).

(360 doing 5k in Japan... PS3 doing... 40k? 50k? 60k?) 

 



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NJ5 on 27 November 2007
NJ5 said:

Well, here are my estimates of NA hardware sales for this week, according to hints given by ioi in this thread:

DS: about 360k
Wii: 400-475k
X360: 225-275k
PS3: about 174k
PSP: about 178k ?

Remeber that this is likely based on incomplete data and on my interpretation of ioi's hints ;)

 


That was pretty accurate :) ioi FTW.

 



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