When will Wii outsell PS2?

mysticwolf

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mysticwolf on 08 April 2010

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jarrod

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jarrod on 08 April 2010

Metallicube said:

Gilgamesh said:

The Ghost of RubangB said:
Wii has outsold the PS2 every year with aligned launches. To not outsell the PS2 it not only has to slow down really fast, it has to slow down much much faster than the PS2 did, but it just has too much momentum to do that. If GTA4, Halo 3, God of War 3, Metal Gear Solid 4, Modern Warfare 2, Final Fantasy 13, and everything else couldn't slow it down, what will? Sports Champions, Move Party, Brunswick Bowling, Ricochet, and Milo? I am suddenly rolling on the floor laughing.

You can't compare last gen to this gen, no way.

The PS2 completely dominated last gen, but I wouldn't say the Wii is "dominating" this gen, sure it's doing exceptionally well but not like the PS2. The PS2 had all the games (third party as well) and a huge lead in sales. This gen the Wii wont be able to manage 50% market share and third party is out of the question it belongs to the HD consoles, not to mention the the X360 and PS3 is competing quite well. Natal and the Move is really the only thing that would effect Wii sales, games wouldn't since obviously the Wii has a different user base then the two HD consoles so it really doesn't matter what kind of huge AAA games they release, unless there games on Natal or Move do extremely well which would be a threat to the Wii.

It doesn't matter if Wii doesn't have "domination" like the PS2 had, which by the way was mainly because PS2 had a year head start and virtually ALL the thrid party support. The important factor is that Wii is outpacing the PS2, so logic will tell you it should outsell the PS2.

I don't know why everyone seems to think Wii will just miraculously have this unprecedented drop in sales, like everyone in the world will collectively just decide to stop buying them all at once. It just doesn't work that way. I guess it's just wishful thinking going against logic.

Like I've repeatedly pointed out, DS didn't have GBA style domination either, and that hasn't kept it from cruising by GBA's milestones or mean it won't have a better wind down. Hell, if we include iPhone, it's marketshare doesn't even equal PS2's either. PS2 didn't manage the marketshare NES did either. Trying to tie marketshare alone to longevity is a faulty argument with basically zero historical precedent.

The "third party support" argument is laughably inaccurate too. You can count on one hand the number of 3rd party AAA games PS2 got from 2007 on, new 3rd party games are most definitely not what kept PS2 going in it's twilight years...