Interesting article.

December numbers would then be:

Wii - 2,500,000
360 - 1,830,000
PS3 - 604,000

Why would ps3 sales be so dead?

December should like this

wii- 1.8m

360-1.1m

ps3-900k

Leo-j, if you're not even going to read the article, then please don't comment.

Of course there are all sorts of factors involved (price cuts, bundles, etc). But that kind of stuff happens pretty much in every Christmas, what this analysis shows us is how much demand we can reasonably expect for each product.

The fact that the multipliers were so stable in previous years may well mean this is a pretty accurate rule.

EDIT - after dividing the numbers, I can see that it's not quite as stable as the writer makes it seem. November seems to be anywhere from 2 to 3.

  US sales for sure.

 maybe worldwide

I know its U.S since NPD is only U.S.

@shasta

World wide.. for all 4 weeks, only 900k... Im right you guys are wrong.

WW december sales

2.4m-wii

1.8m-360

1.8m-ps3

Leo-j, if you're just going to post random numbers based on your own guesses, go away. This is the last time I'm going to tell you.

I agree with the sentiment of the increases in most years, but this is no typical year.

a) Nov PS3 price cut

b) Halo 3 driving 360 sales in Sept....before a 15%/week decline in Oct

c) Those increases cited in the article were based on cheaper consoles...(i.e. the avg cost per console on avg is like $250/$335/$450).  Last generation you had $300/$300/$200, then $200/$200/$150 (I think this was in 2002, the comparable year to 2007), etc, very quickly.  Not sure how many gamers are petty enough to buy a PS3 at $500 or $400 rather than $600 or $500 last year.  If you're going to spend that much on a console, may as well buy it early to get the longest gaming time out of it.  The trade off for waiting for price cuts is you lose out on time to play the early games....

I'm expecting more like (NPD USA):

I may be overestimating PS2 and underestimating 360 a bit, but we'll see.  PS3 will sell 300k to 425k in Nov or I'll eat my hat.

Nintendo's numbers could be higher if they keep facing less demand in Japan - even after Wii Fit. 

look at the gamecube number

http://vgchartz.com/amonthly.php?month=10&year=2002&console=&maker=&boxartz=1

http://vgchartz.com/amonthly.php?month=11&year=2002&console=&maker=&boxartz=1

it multiplies by 2.75