ok, got your point.

Actually if you go by Nintendo's recent financial report you'll realize they've been making 1.8 million Wii's since the end of July. So expect way more then what you've guessed there to be. Also, last time Reggie spoke about the topic he said that there would be twice as many Wii's available during the same amount of time as last year. So 7.2 million Wii's from Nov 19th-December 31st.

what i mean to say is that in january it will become a little bit more healthier then in febuary probably will get sold out again cause of ssbb and wii fit

I think 20 million is a fair number, 22 million seems a little too high as I don't see Nintendo getting 8 million consoles in stores till december 31th.

Abroz...cdude's comment was not an underhand insult, but rather an underhand compliment. You will quickly discover here that there are several posters around these parts that shun proper spelling, are allergic to commas, and just have a difficult time putting their fingers to the keys without causing a train wreck. Welcome to the Chartz, both your analysis and your grammar.

As far as supply is concerned, if Nintendo can keep the retail channel full this holiday season it will be a coup for them. The only thing that will keep their sales below their competitor's is scarce product.

Something else that I'm not sure you are considering, since you are new around these parts. Nintendo has yet to take the Wii to China, yet they are planning a launch there this next year. There will definitely be some stockpiling for that event.

So while they may be producing 1.8 million units, all these units may not make it into the supply this holiday. Nintendo will certainly do what they can to keep enough on the shelves to establish retail dominance, as well as limiting said supply to further the belief that the Wii is a scarce commodity. It's just good business.

No, no sarcasm. Your OP was a well thought out and grammatically correct post, and I congratulate you for it. Especially with you not being English or American.

Here are my thoughts, Nintendo for a little while now has been diverting units from Japan to the US in anticipation for SMG, as shown by the decrease in sales in Japan, and the increase in the US.

Agree or disagree?

I think people don't realize something about the Wii, even at its current lull its selling better than historical trends in October through December 2000 PS2 was selling far worse than the Wii is right now, in fact the week ending december 3rd it sold only 3,637 consoles. The following year it was selling around 37,392 the week ending the 11th of November, pretty much the same time of year as now, only a few thousand more than the Wii and this in its second year with a deeper library than the Wii has right now, so the assumption by some that the Wii is somhow failing is based on an ignorance of historical trends

Nintendo already cleared out that they delayed the China launch because of high demand in current territories. I don't think they are stockpiling just yet for China. What I think will happen is if demand doens't decline drammatically in Q1 of 2008, Nintendo will ramp up it's production as of Q2 to accommodate demand in current territories and China.

I agree to a certain extend. They are deriving units from Japan, but that's because the Japanese gaming market is in a little slump right now. Japan doens't suffer from Wii shortages. Wii Fit should fix that though.