HappySqurriel said:
While it is entirely possible that Sony, Nintendo and Microsoft could put off releasing a new console for a couple of years, realistically one of them is likely to decide that their long term prosperity is best suited by releasing new hardware and the rest will follow suit. Basically, by the end of 2010 as much hardware will have been sold in this generation as was sold in the previous generation, and most of the people who owned a previous generation console will own a current generation console. This (essentially) puts the generation in a new phase where the console manufacturers are in more direct competition, and it is likely that one of the manufacturers will see releasing new hardware as the best way to take consumers away from their competition.
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the Question would they take that Risk?
we are in a recession right now, not to mention the PS3 an the xbox360 or the Wii has yet to reduce their price point to where say the $149.00 price is, or the $99.00 price point, if the companies were going to release early why not just release ARC and NATAL as a main product to push the next system over these. the big problem aside of most likely Nintendo , is these system's are pretty good system's and people still feel they are too new:
what I mean there is nowhere in the short run that make's sense to release a whole new system when the recession being how it is, people are loosing their house, you cannot play a game console if you have no house to put it in., If anything there will be less of a reason for people to upgrade this soon, many people still think of these system's as still new system's not everyone went out and bought the xbox360 for $299.00 and $399.00 off the batt just lke $499.00 and $599.00 PS3.
since the system's all has downloadable game's , and content what will the new system's have over these system in say a year or two from now that will be such a wide upgrade that would make the developer's drop these system's and go over too the other system's.
not much of an increase are the new systems going to be over these as there are of these system's over the previous system's the leap in the next two year's is not going to great enough at a reduced price that the companies like microsoft or sony or nintendo is going to offer that would dry up the sale's of current machine's.
say if there is new system's get released in 2011
what will the leve of the graphic's be over these current system's, the only one i can see get a big jump would be the Nintendo Wii but then again , that still would be sold for a premium over the cost of the Wii, and the Wii would still be selling.
it's just not worth releasing that soon In my OPINION.
mainly the recession has done that more than anything though.