Not impossible but not easy, unless it reaches 60M by 2011 end.

Depanding on when GT5 comes out, xmas 09 will be nothing compared to Xmas 2010

I don't get how everyone seems to think PS3 will be this console that will magically sell strong for 10 years despite it selling poorly, while the Wii will plummet down far quicker despite it selling much greater amounts.

Usually a console selling less indicates its life will be shorter and a console selling strongly means it will last longer, it is not the other way around..

It's the people that don't care about graphics keeping the PS2 alive. The Wii seems like most likely to satisfy these people as it has the most games that cater to that audience.

The people who want graphically intense games will be the first to jump ship once something better comes along.

Its reality boy.

Every year since coming out, PS3 sales have increases.  This year is already showing increse of sales over previous one, and thats with big shortages though out NA and Europe.   

here is a question , do you think the xbox360 will still sell for 10 year's?

I think so, why because before when a new system get's released there will be a big upgrade in visual's right off the bat. but unlike this generation how much of a leap will the next system have in leap in visual's vs' the next xbox vs' the current xbox360 the upgrade in hardware but the visual's will be slightly updated, because of if the developer's want the most money the for example the developer's for Microsoft's cboc360  will still have to code for the lowest common system between the xbox360 and the new xboxsystem which will still developer's develop for their base system.

and that will still be the xbox360. why because the xbox360 will still be selling very healthy even when a new xbox get's released.

that is if you don't think the XBOX360 cannot sell healthy when the new xbox come's out that is?

do you?

it will be the same for the playstation 3. even when a new playstation system get's released.

Possible? Yes.
Probable? No.

Mike from Morgantown

PS3 still cost 299$.

What makes people think, that 199$ costing PS3 won`t sell like hot cakes?
If already, when PS3 reached 299$, it sold over 1m in 1 month.

PS3 reached 33.5m(shipped) mark by the end of December 2009, while x360 passed that mark just in September 2009. That is only 1 quarter difference.

By the way, why amazon.com have problems with PS3 supplies?

Considering how abysmal PS3's showing was during the holidays last season and the months following up until the SLim introduction it isn't hard for the PS3 to sell more yoy. Though come september on it will find it quite difficult to match last years numbers. Where Wii is in the opposite spectrum of having a strong momentum last year following the holidays and began slowing around march of last year where Wii will begin to be up yoy if things hold as they are.

But Metalllic is right, it is funny how every Year PS3 is 'poised to dominate' while Wii is always poised to falter, despite always being the dominant player month in and month out and year in and year out. Its baffling.

Thats around 70 million units to go(roughly)- and its at a $299 price point- past its third year entering its fourth soon. Usually the time PS hardware peaks.If it were to sell 15million+ units a year for the next 4-5 yrs.. it would touch 100million.

Its possible.

Though Im guessing by the time SONY can get their prices down to an acceptable mass market level(we are looking at the magic $199 and lower figure here)- we will be seeing glimpses of the 720 and wii HD.