Am I the only one that expects that considering the nice Wii SW launches and the huge PS3 HW ones, both could be adjusted up?

I just facepalmed myself

Ignore me!!

Updating the 3rd party Japanese upcoming games:

Listing all upcoming known retail games from 3rd party Japanese publishers for the PS3/Wii.

Games that will probably sell over 100k in Japan:

PS3:

• Ninokuni: Queen of the White Ash (Level 5)
• Final Fantasy Versus XIII (Square-Enix)
• Metal Gear Solid: Rising (Konami)
• Yakuza: Of the End (Sega)
• Shin Sangoku Musou 6 (Tecmo-Koei)
• New Tales of (Namco-Bandai)
• Winning Eleven 201X (Konami)
• Devil may Cry (Capcom)
• Gundam Musou 3 (Tecmo-Koei)
• Ni-Oh (Tecmo-Koei)
• Project Dark (From Software)
• Tales of Graces F (Namco-Bandai)
• Street Fighter vs. Tekken (Capcom/Namco-Bandai)
• Tekken vs. Street Fighter (Namco-Bandai/Capcom)
• Dinasty Warriors Troy (Tecmo-Koei)
• Final Fantasy XIV (Square-Enix)
• Asura's Wrath (Capcom)
• Ace Combat: Assault Horizon (Namco-Bandai)
• Tekken 7 (Namco-Bandai)
• Way of the Samurai 4 (Spike)
• Powerful Pro Baseball 201X (Konami)
• Pro Baseball Spirits 201X (Konami)
• Shadows of the DAMNED (Grasshopper/EA)
• Armored Core 5 (From Software)
• Marvel vs. Capcom 3: Fate of the Two Worlds (Capcom)
• Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software)
• Catherine (Atlus)
• Trinity Zill O'll Zero (Tecmo-Koei)
• Rune Factory Oceans (Marvelous)
• First of the North Star Musou International (Tecmo-Koei)
• Dragon Ball Z: Raging Blast 2 (Namco-Bandai)
• Disaster Report 4 (Irem)

Wii:

• Dragon Quest X (Square-Enix)
• Inazuma Eleven Strikers (Level 5)
• Taiko Drum Master 3 Wii (Namco-Bandai)

Games that will probably sell below 100k (Or may not be released there at all):

PS3:

• King of Fighters XIII (SNK Playmore)
• Silent Hill (Konami)
• Earth Defense Force: Insect Armageddon (D3 Publisher)
• Dynasty Warriors Online (Tecmo-Koei)
• Devil's Third (Valhalla Game Studios/THQ)
• Suzumiya Haruhi no Tsuisou (Namco-Bandai)
• Mind Jack (Square-Enix)
• Umineko no Naku Koro ni (Alchemist)
• Wizardry: City of the Captive Spirits (Acquire)
• Virtua Tennis 4 (Sega)
• Nobunaga's Ambition Online (Tecmo-Koei)
• Agarest Senki 2 (Compile Heart)
• Arcana Heart 3 (Arc System Works)
• El Shaddai: Ascension of the Metatron (Ignition Entertainment Japan)
• Majin and the Forsaken Kingdom (Namco-Bandai)
• Deus Ex: Human Revolution (Square-Enix)
• Dungeon Siege 3 (Square-Enix)
• Arkaham City (Square-Enix)
• Highlander (Square-Enix)
• Splatter House (Namco-Bandai)
• NeverDead (Konami)
• Knights Contract (Namco-Bandai)
• Fortune Arterial (Kadokawa Shoten)
• L@ve Once: Mermaid's Tears (Maid Meets Cat)
• Clannad (Prototype)
• Tsuri Tore (Recom)
• Winning Post 201X (Tecmo-Koei)
• Pachipara Sea Story SLOT (Irem)
• Pachipara Ginger Paradise 16 (Irem)
• Dance Dance Revolution Move (Konami)
• Captain America: Super Soldier (Sega)
  
• Sekai Saikyou Ginsei Igo: Hybrid Monte Carlo (Magnolia)
• Gekiatsu!! Pachi Game Tamashi: CR Evangelion - Hajimari no Fukuin (Field)

Wii:

• Earth Seeker (Kadokawa Shoten)
• Sonic Colors (Sega)
• Naruto Gekitou Ninja Taisen Special (Takara-Tomy)
• Rune Factory Oceans (Marvelous)
• Kamen Rider: Climax Heroes OOO (Namco-Bandai)
• Namco Museum Megamix (Namco-Bandai)
• Winning Eleven 201X (Konami)
• The Conduit 2 (Sega)
• Captain America: Super Soldier (Sega)
• Pacman Party (Namco-Bandai)
• Fitness Party (Namco-Bandai)
• Anpanman Smiling Party (Agatsuma)
• Write! Move! Catch! Teacher Wii
• Karaoke Joysound Wii SuperDX By Yourself, With Everyone, All You Can Sing (Hudson)
• Shape Boxing 2: Enjoy Diet on Wii! (Rocket Company)
• Billy's Boot Camp: Enjoy Diet on Wii! (Rocket Company)
• Mom-chan Diet Wii Figureobics by Jung Da-Yeon (IE Institute)
  
• The Monkey King (Starfish)
• 100 Fun Games Party Show (Hudson)
• Jinsei Game: Happy Family (Takara-Tomy)
• Dance Dance Revolution (Konami)
• Baby Sitter Mama (Square-Enix)

Platform Count:

PS3 - 65
Wii - 25

Publisher Count (Major Publishers Only):

Square-Enix

PS3 - 7
Wii - 2

Capcom

PS3 - 5
Wii - 0

Namco-Bandai

PS3 - 11
Wii - 5

Konami

PS3 - 6
Wii - 2

Tecmo-Koei

PS3 - 9
Wii - 0

Sega

PS3 - 3
Wii - 3

Level 5

PS3 - 1
Wii - 1

Atlus

PS3 - 1
Wii - 0

Actually laughed at this.

Got to love 3rd parties <3

I'd take Rune Factory off the PS3 100k list (only the first two DS games ever managed that, RF3 and Frontier were both under 100k) and I'd also take out Shadows of the Damned (especially after Vanquish bombed hard), but generally I agree.  Never has such a successful platform been supported so badly by the JP industry.

On the other hand, those games that'll sell over 100k on Wii and PS3 cumulatively will probably sell within the same amount of units overall thanks to DQX.

It's all about scale.  If you do over 200k, then the lists become...

PS3:

• Ninokuni: Queen of the White Ash (Level 5)
• Final Fantasy Versus XIII (Square-Enix)
• Metal Gear Solid: Rising (Konami)
• Yakuza: Of the End (Sega)
• Shin Sangoku Musou 6 (Tecmo-Koei)
• New Tales of (Namco-Bandai)
• Winning Eleven 201X (Konami)
• Gundam Musou 3 (Tecmo-Koei)
• Ni-Oh (Tecmo-Koei)
• Project Dark (From Software)
• Tales of Graces F (Namco-Bandai)

Wii:

• Dragon Quest X (Square-Enix)
• Inazuma Eleven Strikers (Level 5)
• Taiko Drum Master 3 Wii (Namco-Bandai)

More importantly...

jarrod.

You think Ninokuni can sell over 800k on PS3?

Totally.  I think a PS3 version will nerf DS sales with the hardcore too, and I think both versions should do 800k plus.  It's Ghibli.

Can we put a question mark ahead of DQX releasing for the Wii? I mean, it got announced nearly two years ago and, well, we're still waiting for the concept art. 

It's been said to be releasing for Wii recently.

Although I personally wouldn't be surprised if it was now a 3DS game.

I think we could if Horii hadn't just reconfirmed the game for Wii specifically a month ago.  People were also saying the same thing earlier this year, and then all of a sudden DQMBRV came outta nowhere and released a whopping 3 months after it's reveal.