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Forums - Sales Discussion - Will the wii eventally slow down?

Pristine20 on 14 November 2008

the wii will slow down because the laws of supply and demand say so. Every consumer product would reach it's peak eventually and sales would dwindle to oblivion from there.

It's just logic. Now for the year this would happen? That, I can't say at present.



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okr on 14 November 2008

The DS will be close to 100 mill by the end of this year and people are still asking if the Wii sales will slow down soon...

People asked the same about the DS not long ago.



Roma on 14 November 2008

No I think people going to the PS360 are going back, it’s like playing the GC or the Xbox or PS2. The Wii will eventually slow down but at the end of its life cycle and people will move on to the new things witch are the next gen systems. That’s the only way to get the new experience!



    R.I.P Mr Iwata :'(

Dgc1808 on 14 November 2008

Mid-09.... call me crazy...



4 ≈ One

Roma on 14 November 2008
Dgc1808 said:
Mid-09.... call me crazy...

 

 people said mid-08 and we are way past that... you are crazy! there i did it



    R.I.P Mr Iwata :'(

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megaman79 on 14 November 2008

No way, at least into 2010. Next year more core games, better games all round plus WM +. That will stretch any Wii Fit inertia out for at least another christmas.

Yea but in terms of peak your forgetting that new markets are opening up all over the world. India just got the Wii, China just got it too. Sth America is a big opp. for Nintendo and they know it.

I would say including the saturation capability in these markets might even go to late 2010 or early 11



“When we make some new announcement and if there is no positive initial reaction from the market, I try to think of it as a good sign because that can be interpreted as people reacting to something groundbreaking. ...if the employees were always minding themselves to do whatever the market is requiring at any moment, and if they were always focusing on something we can sell right now for the short term, it would be very limiting. We are trying to think outside the box.” - Satoru Iwata - This is why corporate multinationals will never truly understand, or risk doing, what Nintendo does.

noname2200 on 14 November 2008
okr said:
The DS will be close to 100 mill by the end of this year and people are still asking if the Wii sales will slow down soon...

People asked the same about the DS not long ago.

In fairness, DS sales have slowed down enough in Japan that Nintendo came out with the DSi. Mind you, "enough" seems to mean "only 40k a week," but I guess Nintendo's gotten used to triple digit sales each day...

 



Falcon095 on 14 November 2008
Everstar said:
thx1139 said:

I dont know. Even my wife just asked for a Wii and Wii Fit for Christmas. My kids (3 boys aged 7,11, and 13) and I have little interest in the Wii, but I am sure there are still people like my wife out there.

 

 yeah there is but how many more could there be after this christmas and part of next year?

 

 Well according to Wikipedia, at 1999 the World's population was almost 6 billions now let's take the main gaming Regions:

Asia: 3.634 billions

Europe: 729 millions

Latin America and the Caribbean: 511 millions

Northern America: 307 millions

If we put the numbers together are: 5.181 billion

But we know that most of probably most of those people can't have the luxury to own a conosole so let's subtract 9/10 from that, now the numbers are: 518 millions

And we know that not even the half of that will be interested on a gaming system so let's subtrack 1/2 from those numbers, now we have something like 250 millions

 Now let's subtrack the Wii's that have been sold which are 36 millions, and 3/4 of the HD's that have been sold which are 30 millions, so the numbers are 184 millions

Let's subtract 15 million (possible Wii's numbers of this christmas) and the final numbers are 169 millions.

There could be around 170 millions after this christmas!

This "study" obviously don't show the real numbers (mainly because i underestimated many things) but you get the point.



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HappySqurriel on 14 November 2008

All systems will eventually see their sales slow down ...

At (roughly) the two year birthday of the Wii, I think it is reasonable to say that the Wii will not see a dramatic slowdown in sales in the next 2 years; after that it becomes more difficult to predict because we will be on the threshold of the next generation, which could change everything.



megaman79 on 14 November 2008
Falcon095 said:
Everstar said:
thx1139 said:

I dont know. Even my wife just asked for a Wii and Wii Fit for Christmas. My kids (3 boys aged 7,11, and 13) and I have little interest in the Wii, but I am sure there are still people like my wife out there.

 

yeah there is but how many more could there be after this christmas and part of next year?

 

Well according to Wikipedia, at 1999 the World's population was almost 6 billions now let's take the main gaming Regions:

Asia: 3.634 billions

Europe: 729 millions

Latin America and the Caribbean: 511 millions

Northern America: 307 millions

If we put the numbers together are: 5.181 billion

But we know that most of probably most of those people can't have the luxury to own a conosole so let's subtract 9/10 from that, now the numbers are: 518 millions

And we know that not even the half of that will be interested on a gaming system so let's subtrack 1/2 from those numbers, now we have something like 250 millions

Now let's subtrack the Wii's that have been sold which are 36 millions, and 3/4 of the HD's that have been sold which are 30 millions, so the numbers are 184 millions

Let's subtract 15 million (possible Wii's numbers of this christmas) and the final numbers are 169 millions.

There could be around 170 millions after this christmas!

This "study" obviously don't show the real numbers (mainly because i underestimated many things) but you get the point.

 

With emerging middleclass primarily in India and China, the worlds most populus countries, they have pushed up the price of meat, oil, minerals, etc. 9/10 is an overstatement i think.

BTW lol, but your correct, Nintendo know that all these un tapped markets are gonna run at the Wii big time.

 



“When we make some new announcement and if there is no positive initial reaction from the market, I try to think of it as a good sign because that can be interpreted as people reacting to something groundbreaking. ...if the employees were always minding themselves to do whatever the market is requiring at any moment, and if they were always focusing on something we can sell right now for the short term, it would be very limiting. We are trying to think outside the box.” - Satoru Iwata - This is why corporate multinationals will never truly understand, or risk doing, what Nintendo does.