I hadn't realized the Switch was that close to the X1. PS4 had an extremely strong performance last year, too.

Yea it looks like the Switch can catch up to/overtake the X1 this year. That said the sales performance of the X1 is much harder to track and might be higher than generally expected - it would only delay the Switch overtaking it's sales by a few months at most though.

The peak gap between Wii and Switch probably has passed now, as Wii rapidly lost steam from here on out, but the Switch needs quite a bit of staying power to actually outsell it.

At this point the only thing that can stop the Switch outselling the Wii is Nintendo.

If they keeping going the way they are and support the system properly, it will pass 100 million.

They only way it won't is if they go full moron and cut it short prematurely.

People talk about Nintendo not having to support 2 platforms anymore but I think alot of them dont realize that in ~2010 Nintendo was developing/publishing titles for 4 seperate platforms at the same time.

They were trying to provide DS & Wii with late life support while also trying to get first year software ready for 3DS & Wii U. This caused them to be spread too thin and the transition period saw DS/Wii sales drop hard while 3DS/Wii U both got off to slow starts.

The transition to Switch went much smoother as they killed off Wii U early and were able soften droughts by releasing Wii U ports while they kept supporting 3DS as a back up plan if Switch didnt take off.

In theory the transition to Switch 2 should go even smoother since it should continue to use the Tegra line of chips making it easy for developers to transition and cross-gen titles should be easy to do. On top of that they wont need to give unnecessary support to a seperate back up plan since the Switch concept will no longer be a high risk proposition.

So yeah, Nintendo has to do something foolish to make Switch suffer an early decline or Switch 2 to stall out of the gates. Something along the lines of returning to two or more seperate ecosystems or going with a completely different high risk concept for the next hardware or going with a different chipset making it hard for developers to transition.

If they can continue giving strong support to Switch until 2023/2024 then release a Switch 2 in the XBO/PS4 ballpark power range than all should go very smoothly.

To paraphrase Robert Downey Junior, "Never go full moron."

Pretty impressive for the DS. It looks like the period of most aggressive sales hadn't happened yet by the 31st month.

Personally I'd prefer Galaxy 3 over Odyssey 2, I think it could sell better by differentiating itself.

Switch is well and truly breaking ahead of the 3DS. Hopefully we won't be hearing any more of that "Switch will sell on par with 3DS lifetime" talk.

Yeah that's what they should do I reckon, ride Switch until 2023 then release a full-blooded successor that's the same basic thing but a generation more powerful.

with that graph it's hard to grasp that the DS fell just short of reaching the 155m the PS2 did, as afaik the PS4 is still tracking pretty well with the PS2