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Forums - Sales Discussion - NPD: PS4 2016 vs Switch 2019

 

How much more will Switch sell compared to PS4?

Switch will not outsell PS4 7 15.56%
 
500k-1 million 2 4.44%
 
1 million-1.5 million 12 26.67%
 
1.5 million-2 million 6 13.33%
 
2 million-2.5 million 5 11.11%
 
2.5 million-3 million 5 11.11%
 
Over 3 million 8 17.78%
 
Total:45
MasonADC on 29 September 2019

Happy that this thread can finally be updated, wow I can’t believe how good the past three months has been



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Bofferbrauer2 on 29 September 2019

Wow, that gap is growing fast now. And it will grow even faster in September with the Lite.

Seriously, I think the question right now is more if the Switch will sell more than 6M this year according to NPD or not, as it should have those 5.2M in the bag already.

Last edited by Bofferbrauer2 - on 29 September 2019

The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

The_Liquid_Laser on 29 September 2019

I just noticed the PS4 slim and Switch Lite both released in their 3rd September. It will be interesting to see how the two compare when September sales numbers come in.



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Switch Will Be #1 All Time
Zelda Will Outsell Mario (Achieved)
How Much Will MH Rise sell?
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Dulfite on 29 September 2019

Wait, am I reading this right? The same month the Switch LITE is coming out is the month the PS4 Slim came out, both in their third years? If so that is crazy coincidental!



zorg1000 on 29 September 2019
The_Liquid_Laser said:
I just noticed the PS4 slim and Switch Lite both released in their 3rd September. It will be interesting to see how the two compare when September sales numbers come in.

Kind of interesting how the improved Switch (staggered thru Aug) & Lite (Sept 20) both released in a 2 month window of each other just like PS4 Slim (Sept 15) & Pro (Nov 10) did back in 2016.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

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PAOerfulone on 29 September 2019

September should add another 100k to the lead.



Hardware Comparison Threads:

Current Thread

Is Hardware Getting TOO Powerful?

Older Threads:

PlayStation/Xbox/Switch: 2022 Edition

PlayStation/Xbox/Switch Hardware Battle: 2021 Edition!
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2019 vs. 2020
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2017 vs. 2018
PlayStation 4: 2015 vs. 2016 vs. 2017

Dulfite on 30 September 2019
The_Liquid_Laser said:
I just noticed the PS4 slim and Switch Lite both released in their 3rd September. It will be interesting to see how the two compare when September sales numbers come in.

HA! lol I made a post after you without reading your comment and it was basically the same thing. That is shocking how coincidental that is!



Dulfite on 30 September 2019
zorg1000 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:
I just noticed the PS4 slim and Switch Lite both released in their 3rd September. It will be interesting to see how the two compare when September sales numbers come in.

Kind of interesting how the improved Switch (staggered thru Aug) & Lite (Sept 20) both released in a 2 month window of each other just like PS4 Slim (Sept 15) & Pro (Nov 10) did back in 2016.

delete redundant post



Dulfite on 30 September 2019
zorg1000 said:
The_Liquid_Laser said:
I just noticed the PS4 slim and Switch Lite both released in their 3rd September. It will be interesting to see how the two compare when September sales numbers come in.

Kind of interesting how the improved Switch (staggered thru Aug) & Lite (Sept 20) both released in a 2 month window of each other just like PS4 Slim (Sept 15) & Pro (Nov 10) did back in 2016.

Did the improved Switch improve sales? I didn't think so looking at the numbers. They didn't even market it. I bet there are many more people that knew about the Wii U over the better battery Switch, and that is saying something. The PS4 pro, everyone and the mothers knew about. So those aren't really fairly comparable.



zorg1000 on 30 September 2019
Dulfite said:
zorg1000 said:

Kind of interesting how the improved Switch (staggered thru Aug) & Lite (Sept 20) both released in a 2 month window of each other just like PS4 Slim (Sept 15) & Pro (Nov 10) did back in 2016.

Did the improved Switch improve sales? I didn't think so looking at the numbers. They didn't even market it. I bet there are many more people that knew about the Wii U over the better battery Switch, and that is saying something. The PS4 pro, everyone and the mothers knew about. So those aren't really fairly comparable.

It did, at least in Japan.

From April 1-Aug 25 it averaged 42.5k/week.

The hybrid model has averaged 70k in the 4 weeks since the improved model launched.

As for the US, it's hard to tell but comparing the July to Aug drop from 2018 to 2019 might give us an idea.

July 2018-263k (Octopath #1, Captain Toad #14)

Aug 2018-203k (MH Generations #14)

July 2019-~250k (Fire Emblem #2, Marvel #4)

Aug 2019-~240k (Astral Chain #10)

Last year had a ~23k MoM drop while this year had a ~4% drop, and looking at YoY July was down ~5% while Aug was up ~18%.

Similar software performance from new titles so I think the MoM/YoY differences are due the improved model.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.