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Forums - Sales Discussion - UPDATE: PS4 doubles xbox by Sept. 27m vs 14m?

theprof00 on 30 January 2015

I predict that this will happen right around the 26m to 13m mark, probably happening in and around August.
I don't think it will stay there for very long, but it should for about a month.

The conditions:
PS4 will be double XB1 install base by September
Will remain as such for at least 1 month

Outcome:
One month avatar control

will take any bets, stacking month after month. First to accept gets first month, etc.

Updated with excel sales and requirements:

  PS4 XB1 GAP GAP #'s Weekly Gain Weekly cume PS4 total xb1 total ratio
10-Jan 199,544 89,206 2.24 3,216,150 21,134 21,134 18,924,344 11,070,247 58.49739
17-Jan 161,507 72,898 2.22 3,200,439 15,713 36,847 19,085,851 11,143,145 58.38432
24-Jan 148,600 73,737 2.02 3,199,313 1,128 37,975 19,234,451 11,216,882 58.31662
31-Jan 165,486 80,114 2.07 3,194,055 5,260 43,236 19,399,937 11,296,996 58.23213
7-Feb 182,217 101,702 1.79 3,215,242 -21,185 22,050 19,582,154 11,398,698 58.20962
14-Feb 207,300 106,119 1.95 3,220,180 -4,936 17,114 19,789,454 11,504,817 58.1361
21-Feb 268,384 104,375 2.57 3,160,546 59,637 76,751 20,057,838 11,609,192 57.87858
28-Feb 283,275 111,273 2.55 3,099,817 60,732 137,482 20,341,113 11,720,465 57.61959
7-Mar 240,122 92,635 2.59 3,044,965 54,855 192,337 20,581,235 11,813,100 57.39743
14-Mar 229,862 86,846 2.65 2,988,795 56,173 248,510 20,811,097 11,899,946 57.18077
21-Mar 303,472 92,764 3.27 2,870,851 117,947 366,457 21,114,569 11,992,710 56.79827
28-Mar 314,028 87,006 3.61 2,730,835 140,020 506,477 21,428,597 12,079,716 56.37194
4-Apr 249,214 84,798 2.94 2,651,217 79,621 586,097 21,677,811 12,164,514 56.11505
11-Apr 220,000 78,000 2.82 2,587,217 64,003 650,100 21,897,811 12,242,514 55.90748
18-Apr 190,000 75,000 2.53 2,547,217 40,003 690,103 22,087,811 12,317,514 55.76611
25-Apr 170,000 74,000 2.30 2,525,217 22,002 712,105 22,257,811 12,391,514 55.67265
2-May 160,000 70,000 2.29 2,505,217 20,002 732,107 22,417,811 12,461,514 55.58756
9-May 145,000 65,000 2.23 2,490,217 15,002 747,110 22,562,811 12,526,514 55.51841
16-May 139,947 65,445 2.14 2,481,160 9,059 756,169 22,702,758 12,591,959 55.46445


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Mr.Playstation on 30 January 2015

No, it won't. Hence I take your bet and agree to your conditions.



Send a Friend Request On PSN :P

Sharpryno on 30 January 2015

Pretty safe bet. Though if you said by the end of nov/dec, the ps4 would not be doubled the xb1 in sales.



IFireflyl on 30 January 2015

Awe, Mr.Playstation beat me to it.

 

I also accept your bet.



 

Metroid33slayer on 30 January 2015

So you think in the next 8 months that the ps4 will ship/sell 7.4m units to 1.9m units on xboxone, are you crazy? That's a ratio of 3.9 to 1 from now untill september. I don't know what's worse your prediction that ps4 will double xboxone during september or that the xboxone will only sell 1.9m in the next 8 months.



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PenguinZ on 30 January 2015

Will the PS4 double the XB1 in sales... Most likely.

Will it happen by September... Not a chance.



Current gaming platforms - Switch, PlayStation 4, Xbox One, Wii U, New 3DS, PC

super6646 on 30 January 2015

Yeah I'll take the bet as well!



Barkley on 30 January 2015

Not a chance of this happening in 2015.



darkenergy on 30 January 2015

So now we are going to make threads like this XD.

OT: I don't think it will happen.



Proud to be a Californian.

BMaker11 on 30 January 2015
Metroid33slayer said:

So you think in the next 8 months that the ps4 will ship/sell 7.4m units to 1.9m units on xboxone, are you crazy? That's a ratio of 3.9 to 1 from now untill september. I don't know what's worse your prediction that ps4 will double xboxone during september or that the xboxone will only sell 1.9m in the next 8 months.

Other than the last two months of 2014, PS4 was outselling XBone by 2:1 or more for 2014.

And now, Xbone doesn't have the effect of "I might as well get an XBone now because it's super cheap and the price will go back up soon". Couple that with the apparent software drought, exclusive-wise, compared to PS4 in the first 2 quarters of the year + games that are multiplatform but will give PS a bigger boost (Type 0 because Japan, Arkham Knight because of exclusive marketing and content, etc), is it really so far fetched? Not to mention if Sony drops a price cut at E3.

That said, I don't think it'll happen by September. But I took your post to mean "PS4 won't double Xbone at all in 2015". Or is the fact that OP specified September the only thing you have a gripe with?