I predict that this will happen right around the 26m to 13m mark, probably happening in and around August.
I don't think it will stay there for very long, but it should for about a month.
The conditions:
PS4 will be double XB1 install base by September
Will remain as such for at least 1 month
Outcome:
One month avatar control
will take any bets, stacking month after month. First to accept gets first month, etc.
Updated with excel sales and requirements:
PS4 | XB1 | GAP | GAP #'s | Weekly Gain | Weekly cume | PS4 total | xb1 total | ratio | |
10-Jan | 199,544 | 89,206 | 2.24 | 3,216,150 | 21,134 | 21,134 | 18,924,344 | 11,070,247 | 58.49739 |
17-Jan | 161,507 | 72,898 | 2.22 | 3,200,439 | 15,713 | 36,847 | 19,085,851 | 11,143,145 | 58.38432 |
24-Jan | 148,600 | 73,737 | 2.02 | 3,199,313 | 1,128 | 37,975 | 19,234,451 | 11,216,882 | 58.31662 |
31-Jan | 165,486 | 80,114 | 2.07 | 3,194,055 | 5,260 | 43,236 | 19,399,937 | 11,296,996 | 58.23213 |
7-Feb | 182,217 | 101,702 | 1.79 | 3,215,242 | -21,185 | 22,050 | 19,582,154 | 11,398,698 | 58.20962 |
14-Feb | 207,300 | 106,119 | 1.95 | 3,220,180 | -4,936 | 17,114 | 19,789,454 | 11,504,817 | 58.1361 |
21-Feb | 268,384 | 104,375 | 2.57 | 3,160,546 | 59,637 | 76,751 | 20,057,838 | 11,609,192 | 57.87858 |
28-Feb | 283,275 | 111,273 | 2.55 | 3,099,817 | 60,732 | 137,482 | 20,341,113 | 11,720,465 | 57.61959 |
7-Mar | 240,122 | 92,635 | 2.59 | 3,044,965 | 54,855 | 192,337 | 20,581,235 | 11,813,100 | 57.39743 |
14-Mar | 229,862 | 86,846 | 2.65 | 2,988,795 | 56,173 | 248,510 | 20,811,097 | 11,899,946 | 57.18077 |
21-Mar | 303,472 | 92,764 | 3.27 | 2,870,851 | 117,947 | 366,457 | 21,114,569 | 11,992,710 | 56.79827 |
28-Mar | 314,028 | 87,006 | 3.61 | 2,730,835 | 140,020 | 506,477 | 21,428,597 | 12,079,716 | 56.37194 |
4-Apr | 249,214 | 84,798 | 2.94 | 2,651,217 | 79,621 | 586,097 | 21,677,811 | 12,164,514 | 56.11505 |
11-Apr | 220,000 | 78,000 | 2.82 | 2,587,217 | 64,003 | 650,100 | 21,897,811 | 12,242,514 | 55.90748 |
18-Apr | 190,000 | 75,000 | 2.53 | 2,547,217 | 40,003 | 690,103 | 22,087,811 | 12,317,514 | 55.76611 |
25-Apr | 170,000 | 74,000 | 2.30 | 2,525,217 | 22,002 | 712,105 | 22,257,811 | 12,391,514 | 55.67265 |
2-May | 160,000 | 70,000 | 2.29 | 2,505,217 | 20,002 | 732,107 | 22,417,811 | 12,461,514 | 55.58756 |
9-May | 145,000 | 65,000 | 2.23 | 2,490,217 | 15,002 | 747,110 | 22,562,811 | 12,526,514 | 55.51841 |
16-May | 139,947 | 65,445 | 2.14 | 2,481,160 | 9,059 | 756,169 | 22,702,758 | 12,591,959 | 55.46445 |