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Forums - Sales Discussion - Predict this years blockbuster sales!

Tagged games:

Hey guys,

So holiday season is right around the corner and this means... wait for it ... PREDICTION TIME!

Predict first week, 2011 and lifetime sales of these blockbuster titles:

 

  • Gears of War 3
  • Battlefield 3
  • Uncharted 3
  • Modern Warfare 3
  • Skyrim
  • Forza Motorsport 4
  • Resistance 3

First of all. LOTS of 3s this year...

I will start:

 

Gears of War 3:

  • 2.7 million first week. (+800k over GoW2)
  • 4.5 million in 2011
  • 7 million lifetime

 

Battlefield 3:

  • 2.2 million first week (Xbox 360) / 1.7 million first week (PS3)
  • 3.5 million in 2011 (Xbox 360) / 2.7 million in 2011 (PS3)
  • 5.5 million lifetime (Xbox 360) / 4 million lifetime (PS3)

 

Uncharted 3:

  • 1.2 million first week
  • 3 million 2011
  • 5 million lifetime

 

Modern Warfare 3:

  • 6.1 million first week (Xbox 360) / 4.7 million first week (PS3)
  • 8.5 million in 2011 (Xbox 360) / 7 million (PS3)
  • 13.5 million lifetime (Xbox 360) / 11 million lifetime (PS3)

 

Skyrim:

  • 1.1 million first week (Xbox 360) / 700k first week (PS3)
  • 2 million in 2011 (Xbox 360) / 1.3 million in 2011 (PS3)
  • 4 million lifetime (Xbox 360) / 2.5 million lifetime (PS3)

 

Forza Motorsport 4:

  • 600k first week
  • 1.4 million in 2011
  • 5 million lifetime

 

Resistance 3:

  • 700k first week
  • 1.2 million in 2011
  • 2 million lifetime

 

Now it is your turn. Let's see your predictions!



Imagine not having GamePass on your console...

Around the Network

i think uncharted 3 can hit 1 mill 1st week

and being that i think uncharted 2 will do gears of war numbers ltd(6 mill) i think uncharted 3 will do the same



IIRC, We've had this thread before, but I'll participate....

 
Gears of War 3:
- 2.8 million first week. (+800k over GoW2)
- 5.7 million in 2011
- 7.7 million lifetime
 
Battlefield 3:
- 1.8 million first week (Xbox 360) / 1.2 million first week (PS3)
- 3.2 million in 2011 (Xbox 360) / 2.2 million in 2011 (PS3)
- 4.6 million lifetime (Xbox 360) / 3.4 million lifetime (PS3)
 
Uncharted 3:
- 1.0 million first week
- 3.0 million 2011
- 5.5 million lifetime
 
Modern Warfare 3:
- 5.8 million first week (Xbox 360) / 4.7 million first week (PS3)
- 8.5 million in 2011 (Xbox 360) / 7 million (PS3)
- 13.5 million lifetime (Xbox 360) / 11 million lifetime (PS3)
 
Skyrim:
- 0.9 million first week (Xbox 360) / 500k first week (PS3)
- 1.8 million in 2011 (Xbox 360) / 1.0 million in 2011 (PS3)
- 4.5 million lifetime (Xbox 360) / 3.0 million lifetime (PS3)
 
Forza Motorsport 4:
- 800k first week
- 1.8 million in 2011
- 4.0 million lifetime
 
Resistance 3:
300k first week
750k million in 2011
1.7 million lifetime  

And just for fun. 

Arkham City:
- 0.8 million first week (Xbox 360) / 0.6 million first week (PS3)
- 1.9 million in 2011 (Xbox 360) / 1.8 million in 2011 (PS3)
- 3.0 million lifetime (Xbox 360) / 3.2 million lifetime (PS3)
 
Assassin's Creed: Revelations 

- 1.3 million first week (Xbox 360) / 1.1 million first week (PS3)
- 3.2 million in 2011 (Xbox 360) / 2.9 million in 2011 (PS3)
- 5.2 million lifetime (Xbox 360) / 5.3 million lifetime (PS3)
 



laughs out loud with the gears 3 end of year beliefs of under 5M go post your thoughts in here then http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=133084&page=1#13

not being real specific just posting some thoughts for a few of em
gears 3 i see 6M end of this year and uncharted will be at 4M will make thread when we get closer to release

MW3 6.5M 360 over 5M on PS3 1st week



                                                             

                                                                      Play Me

Gears of War 3:

  • 3.25 million first week
  • 5.95 million in 2011
  • 9.00 million lifetime (About 2.25m more than Gears 2, it's going to be huge)

Uncharted 3:

  • 1.15 million first week
  • 2.95 million in 2011
  • 5.55 million lifetime (About the same or 0.10m less than UC2)

Skyrim:

  • 0.95 million first week (Xbox 360) / 550k first week (PS3)
  • 2.15 million in 2011 (Xbox 360) / 1.4 million in 2011 (PS3)
  • 4.25 million lifetime (Xbox 360) / 3.25 million lifetime (PS3)

Forza Motorsport 4:

  • 900k first week
  • 2.25 million in 2011
  • 4.25 - 5.55 million lifetime (Depending on bundling).

Resistance 3:

  • 500k first week
  • 1.45 million in 2011
  • 2.75 million lifetime (About 0.30m more than R2)

All predictions are within +/- 50k.



Around the Network
JustThatGamer said:

Gears of War 3:

  • 3.25 million first week
  • 5.95 million in 2011
  • 9.00 million lifetime (About 2.25m more than Gears 2, it's going to be huge)

Uncharted 3:

  • 1.15 million first week
  • 2.95 million in 2011
  • 5.55 million lifetime (About the same or 0.10m less than UC2)

Skyrim:

  • 0.95 million first week (Xbox 360) / 550k first week (PS3)
  • 2.15 million in 2011 (Xbox 360) / 1.4 million in 2011 (PS3)
  • 4.25 million lifetime (Xbox 360) / 3.25 million lifetime (PS3)

Forza Motorsport 4:

  • 900k first week
  • 2.25 million in 2011
  • 4.25 - 5.55 million lifetime (Depending on bundling).

Resistance 3:

  • 500k first week
  • 1.45 million in 2011
  • 2.75 million lifetime (About 0.30m more than R2)

All predictions are within +/- 50k.

very optimistic on gears 3.



Gears of War 3:

3.5 first week.
5.5 million in 2011
7.8 million lifetime



Battlefield 3:

2.2 million first week (Xbox 360) / 1.1 million first week (PS3)
3.5 million in 2011 (Xbox 360) / 2.1 million in 2011 (PS3)
5.8 million lifetime (Xbox 360) / 4 million lifetime (PS3)



Uncharted 3:

1.4 million first week
3.3 million 2011
6 million lifetime



Modern Warfare 3:

6.2 million first week (Xbox 360) / 4.8 million first week (PS3)
9.2 million in 2011 (Xbox 360) / 7.3 million (PS3)
13.5 million lifetime (Xbox 360) / 11 million lifetime (PS3)



Skyrim:

1.2 million first week (Xbox 360) / 600k first week (PS3)
2.3 million in 2011 (Xbox 360) / 1.4 million in 2011 (PS3)
4.4 million lifetime (Xbox 360) / 3.1 million lifetime (PS3)



Forza Motorsport 4:

700k first week
1.4 million in 2011
5 million lifetime



Resistance 3:

590k first week
1.2 million in 2011
2 million lifetime



Atto Suggests...:

Book - Malazan Book of the Fallen series 

Game - Metro Last Light

TV - Deadwood

Music - Forest Swords 

Deus ex: human revolution:
lifetime= 3 million (x360) 1.9 million (ps3)

resistance 3:
lifetime: 3.5 million

Dead island
lifetime: 2.3 million (x360) 2 million (ps3)

fifa 12
lifetime: 2.5 million (x360) 4.2 million (ps3)

gears of war 3
lifetime: 7.5 million

forza 4
lifetime: 5.5 million

batman: arkham city
lifetime: 4 million (x360) 3.6 million (ps3)

battlefield 3
lifetime: 6 million (x360) 4.4 million (ps3)

uncharted 3
lifetime: 6 million

modern warfare 3
lifetime: 14 million (x360) 12 million (ps3)

elder scrolls V: skyrim
lifetime: 4.5 million (x360) 3 million (ps3)

saints row the third
lifetime: 5 million (x360) 4 million (ps3)

assassins creed revelations
lifetime: 8 million (x360) 6 million (ps3)

mario kart 7
lifetime: 16 million

super mario 3d land
lifetime: 14 million



Xbox One, PS4 and Switch (+ Many Retro Consoles)

'When the people are being beaten with a stick, they are not much happier if it is called the people's stick'- Mikhail Bakunin

Prediction: Switch will sell better than Wii U Lifetime Sales by Jan 1st 2018