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Michigan has been called for Abdul El-Sayed. He ended up winning by 5 percentage points, which is pretty good for Michigan. Haley Stevens's last-minute simping for Florida Mike Rogers apparently didn't help.
Only three senate seats are left- Mississippi, Nebraska, and Alaska. They have stopped counting for the night. in Alaska, Sullivan is now slightly ahead of Peltola, and after all of the Republicans' whining about Dan J. Sullivan, his share of Alaska's RCV is statistically insignificant. Kalshi still has Peltola at 86% odds of winning, but she has dropped slightly.
Nevada has not started reporting results, Nevada is unique among states in that they will accept mail-in ballots as long as they arrive by November 7 at 5pm, and they will allow voters to correct ballots until November 9. So it will be a while before we know the results. Like the rest of the Southwest, Nevada is not electing any senators this year, but they are electing four Representatives and their governor, incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo, faces a tight race to hold onto his office. Kalshi favors his Democratic opponent, Aaron Ford 97%-3%.
Democrats currently hold a 54-46 majority. If they win both Alaska and Mississippi, they'll hold a 56 seat majority. That's eleven seats short of either being able to convict Trump or override the vetoes he will no doubt issue, but if enough Republicans are scared, especially those facing re-election in 2028, that may be something that Democrats can work with.
Last edited by SanAndreasX - 5 hours ago
