Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 36 million?

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Yeah lifetime a lot depends on how long they manufacture the thing. The Xbox One got the axe in 2020, the same year the Series released, so if they release Helix next year and kill Series then and there, 38m may be out of reach.

On the other hand, if it keeps rolling off the assembly line, albiet in small numbers, for a few more years yet, who knows