Which system will sell more in 2026: Switch 2 or PS5?

[CosmicSex]

Kyuu said:

LipeJJ said:

Not really.

The gap is already about 1.5m in favor of S2 and it'll only grow until GTA VI arrives in November. By then, the gap could be anywhere from 4m to 6m. 

I can't really see PS5 having its best holiday season this late in its life, GTAVI or not.

The gap won't be anywhere close to 4 million by November, let alone 6 million. People including myself underestimated the GTA6 effect, and overestimated the effects of PS5's price hike and Switch 2's FOMO due to Japan's May sales. Switch 2's new baseline in Japan is shockingly low as well. By the time it recovers, a new price hike may be announced.

PS5 may shrink the gap to 2 million before November. But I still think the Switch 2 got this.

True.  I think it was determined that the Switch would need a 3 million console lead going into September in order to foreclosure on the PS5.  Otherwise PS5 could win simply on the back of GTA hype.  And while bigger outperformences were certainly possible,  they seemed largely unlikely (given everything going on)  So a lot of predictions vaulted beyond that as a way of saying the battle will be over by September because the lead for the Switch 2 would be insurmountably high (4 and even 6 million). This was wrong.  Im always on the side of GTA because I understand it represents a population of people larger than all the fanboys on all the fourms in the world.  PS5 should naturally come out on top here but reality shows us that raw popularity isnt the end all.