If the last 2 quarters are down a similar amount to the June quarter, -36% year-on-year, that would be 2.6M for the September quarter and 5.1M for December quarter. That would bring lifetime shipment figures to 103 million.
If it is down more like the March quarter, -46% year-on-year, that would be 2.2M for the September quarter and 4.3M for December quarter. That would bring lifetime shipment figures to 101.8 million.
If somehow numbers are far worse than any of us would expect and are down 60%, that would be 1.6M for the September quarter and 3.2M for December quarter. That would bring lifetime shipment figures to 100.1 million.
Shipment figures would have to be down by over 60% for the second half of the year for it to miss 100 million at the end of December.
Last edited by trunkswd - on 31 July 2026VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news, as well as posting random gaming content. Follow me on Bluesky.
I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.
Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown | Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.











