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Zippy6 on 13 June 2026
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firebush03 said:
Norion said:

The dismissive attitude towards the line-up is certainly over the top though the lack of any megatons this year is a notable negative so it basically comes down to that it's looking increasingly likely the Switch 2 will only have one megaton release a full two years in while the Switch 1 had a few when it turned two years old. It looks likely it'll get multiple next year though so business wise spreading it out that way will end up working out really well since the Switch 2 will need a big first party push next year to prevent sales momentum from declining notably.

I do question what you would consider “megaton”.

Judging off OoT Remake’s Twitter stats (it having received more likes than any Tweet regarding major releases such as Tears of the Kingdom and Smash Ultimate), I think it’s fairly safe to assume this could be viewed as a megaton release.

Furthermore, look at Pokopia and Switch Sports Resort— two games that will absolutely enter 10M territory. That’s three games just this year alone. And last year had MKWorld and DKBananza (as well as Legends Z-A though cross gen).

Games that will end up in the top 10 Switch 2 sales when all is said and done. MK World is probably right at the top. It's unlikely anything else that will release before the end of the year will be.

Outside of BOTW and Tears of the Kingdom style Zelda, it's never been a massive selling franchise. Maybe ocarina remake can break that mould but I don't see it hitting roughly 20m.

Outside of MK, Nintendo's 10 biggest games for the system are probably all 2027 or later.

It's not impossible that Pokopia/Switch Sports Resort have a shot with good legs but I don't see them competing with the likes of Smash, 3D Mario, Animal Crossing, Pokémon and the next Mainline Zelda.

These are Nintendo's megaton games: https://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/finance/software/switch.html