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Sogreblute on 09 May 2026
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ShadowLink93 said:

The 1.5 million the PS5 shipped this quarter is 1.3 million down year over year (2.8 million).

It is also 1.1 million down on PS4's equivalent quarter (2.6 million). After 22 quarters the PS5 has shipped 93.7million versus 97.0 million shipped for PS4. This means launch aligned the PS5 trails the PS4 by 3.3 million units.




I'll go ahead and predict what I think the PS5 will do each Quarter this FY.

Q1 I think will match their previous Quarter at 1.5 million due to the price increase and it showed they over shipped in their previous Q3.

Q2 looks like they usually ship more than Q1, so I'll go with 1.8 million. It could be lower, but we haven't seen the full damage of their price increase and late life effects yet.

Q3 is tough since they'll most likely do a $100 discount and say it's a great deal (even though we know better) and have GTA 6 and COD (no more last gen version) to help a little. I think it will match the same Q3 as PS4 at 6.0 million. I also think Xbox will take some sales for these titles. Not much, but some.

Q4 I think will be 1.0 million. Might be lower depending on if they over ship in Q3 again (meaning they overestimated GTA 6 and COD's impact).

So I think the FY 2027 will be 10.3 million (maybe 11.3 million depending how Q3 goes).