Switch 2 Price Rise (May in Japan, September WW) - $499/499EUR/59,980 Yen

[mutantsushi]

BonfiresDown said:

Zippy6 said:

I believe KeplerL2 estimated the bill of materials for PS6 at $760, as of a month or two ago. My bet would be an RRP of $799 if that remains accurate, because even at that price they'd still be losing money after factoring in other costs. They'll subsidise as they always do.

OFC if things get even worse then that's not happening.

Sure, if RAM prices are still at this level when the PS6 launches in 2027-28 then it will be expensive at first. But at some point RAM prices will come down again, maybe not to the same level as before but much better than now. An $800+ console is just not going to sell the kind of numbers that Sony needs.

Although, I suppose they could market the handheld as the ’base’ PS6 hardware if they can make it cheap enough.

Exactly, all the predicitions people are making are based on prices staying at current rate.
Which is fair if you at least make that assumption explicit.
But people aren´t doing that, and merely attack others who don´t give as high as prediction.
As you say, it´s implausible for prices to stay ¨high¨ forever.
So logically, a later release date would be more likely to benefit from price drop.
In fact there is a lot of new production capacity in fabs that will come online in the coming years.
Any basic supply/demand model would take that into account in pricing forecasts.
Yet nobody here is even mentioning that basic factor. They are just so sure of their present-market perspective.