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GTA6 will not move enough consoles to reverse a natural decline. Prices are too high and may continue to increase. On the plus side, Rockstar confirmed PC version won't release simultaneously with console versions.

Traditionally, console hardware sales decline past their midgen point, and pricecuts serve to minimize the decline by an unknown percentage. Price hikes obviously have the opposite effect. GTA6 will sell lots of systems compared to if it didn't exist at all, but it shouldn't be anywhere near enough to allow PS5 to beat Switch 2 this year, possibly not even if Switch 2 gets a $50-$100 price hike. PS5's Q1 shipment figures were really poor (but the gap between shipped and sold may have dramatically shrunk). The next quarter is going to be a disaster for hardware sales.