Which system will sell more in 2026: Switch 2 or PS5?

[Sephiran]

Kyuu said:

Pokopia's explosive success and PS5's price hike vs Switch 2 somehow maintaining its price ended PS5's chances. This should be one-sided.

I expected PS5 to maintain its price and the Switch 2 to get a considerable price hike this year, but the opposite (so far) happened. Still, I'd be shocked if Switch 2 doesn't follow suit and soon. But even with that, it should comfortably beat PS5 which is just ridiculously expensive for a console in its 6th year.

Sony did state to investors during their recent financial meeting that PS5 already have a big enough install base, so they probably don't feel the need to eat any cost to just grow that install base from 100M to 120M. Switch 2 on the other hand still needs to grow its install base, so in that regard Sony have it easier right now, Nintendo needs to do more a careful cost/benefits analysis if they need to subsidize Switch 2 price to grow the install base, while Sony can mostly coast on already having sold 100M PS5 consoles for the rest of the gen. Sony will face a ton of challenges next year though trying to launch PS6 in the current conditions and will then have to make the same cost/benefit calculation as Nintendo this year.