VGChartz Sales Comparison Charts March 2026 Discussion Thread

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XtremeBG said:

Seeing this table with all the quarters, and more specifically it's drops per quarter for the last 3 fiscal years, it's very hard to imagine how this will go to 160M. If we continue the trend we should have around 0.6-0.75 for quarter 4, which will result in around close to or exactly 4M for the fiscal year. with 156 or 156.1M of shipments. Even putting 2M for the next one it will result in 158M. 1M the year after gets it to 159M, and 0.5 more to 159.5M. The drops should be less than 50% per year, and Switch has to continue to sell till around 2029 or 2030, to have realistic chance at this. It's an uphill battle.

I agree the drop needs to be under 50% per year to have a shot. Under 2 million forecasts for the next fiscal year and it is over. Over 2 million and there is still a chance.

Sephiran said:

I think the only hope for Switch 1 to overtake PS2 is if they can push the Switch lite as a low budget gaming alternative when all other consoles and gaming PCs explode in price. Still a long shot but it could give Switch 1 some purpose on the market, because it could be like the only affordable gaming hardware, its ancient components should barely get affected by AI component price increases. But that would depend on Nintendo actually continuing to release some games on the Switch 1 in the future.

Japan sales need to stay decent for a couple more years as well to have a shot as sales have dropped like a rock in the US and Europe.